Benoist Rousseau

Benoist Rousseau — Trader, CME member, economic history specialist trained at the Sorbonne — Stocks, Trading, Economy • EN

Business EN ↓ 46 episodes

Active trading, economic analysis and market history — by a Paris-Sorbonne graduate in History. Scalping and Day Trading on Nasdaq (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES) Futures via IBKR. Since May 2024, I hold a seat at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) — the world's leading derivatives marketplace — with voting rights, alongside the largest global banks and hedge funds. A very rare status for an individual. Economy, stocks, capitalism: thinking in long cycles with Piketty, Stiglitz, Acemoglu, Braudel (Annales) and Schumpeter. Medici, Rothschild, Buffett: three centuries of capital dynasties. Kondratieff...

Author

Benoist Rousseau

Category

Business

Podcast website

podcast.ausha.co

Latest episode

Jul 10, 2026

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Episodes

Live FOMC: From Nasdaq to Robotaxis, I Shift to AI 18.03.2026

FOMC and Fed: I start with a market update, then the live session takes me elsewhere. Between a ranging session on the Nasdaq, waiting for Jerome Powell's speech, and the oil question, I shift to artificial intelligence, the cost of money, and company financing (borrowing versus dilution). I also discuss Uber and its robotaxi announcement using Nvidia software, along with a very personal sci-fi-st...

Nasdaq 100: Powell Matters Less, the Real Risk Comes from Nvidia 17.03.2026

Nasdaq 100 in a range: I describe a sleepy session, stuck in about a 150-point span, with sellers identified above 25,000 and a bounce around 24,750. I review the anticipation around the FOMC (FedWatch at 99.1% for unchanged rates) and explain why Jerome Powell's speech carries less weight in my opinion. The hot spot is actually Nvidia: developer conference, AI chip and software announcements, and...

Central banks, Hormuz and oil: a tense week for markets 16.03.2026

Central banks in the background: I recap a week driven by monetary policy, where everyone awaits interest rate decisions. Between the Fed, the ECB, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Canada, I highlight what this means for intraday trading activity. I connect the dots with inflation and oil nearing $100, the context around the Strait of Hormuz, and then I break down my market perspective: Nasdaq...

Oil at $100: Why You Are Being Told Nonsense 13.03.2026

Oil and oil barrels: in this episode, I set the record straight on the media noise about the “$100” mark. I share the current WTI level (around $95, peaking near $98) and explain the classic mistake between spot prices and further-out futures contracts, where interest rates are factored in. I connect this to the end-of-week context (cautious managers, lighter portfolios) and the risk of a surprise...

Oil price: Hormuz, $92, IEA and the domino effect on markets 12.03.2026

Oil prices and crude oil barrel: I recount these past 24 hours where, on the 13th day of war, Iran set fire to two oil tankers and the Strait of Hormuz remained blocked for some ships, but not for Chinese tankers. Overnight, Asian markets pushed the barrel toward $92, with China being more exposed. I discuss the IEA and its 400 million barrels, the backdrop of inflation, and the stark contrast wit...

Markets, oil, Bitcoin: my Good Morning Trading in express mode 11.03.2026

Oil prices open this episode: despite the conflict in Iran, the bombings, and questions regarding Hormuz, I primarily note that markets are not panicking. I then unpack, live and unscripted, what I hear in Donald Trump's messages, and why the G7 and strategic reserves matter for crude oil prices. I review gold, a Bitcoin hesitating around its key levels, then the indices (CAC 40, DAX, Dow Jones, N...

Financial markets: from $120 oil to the Nasdaq rebound after Trump 10.03.2026

Financial markets, market news: I break down the sequence that moved everyone. After a spike of over 30% and crossing near $120, crude oil prices sharply reversed toward $90 when Donald Trump spoke, which the markets took as a reassuring signal. Following that, the Nasdaq 100 bounced back strongly up to 25,000 points, while the Dow Jones and S&P 500 recovered. In the background: the Strait of...

Oil prices: the real shock is inflation and free prices 09.03.2026

Surging oil prices: in this Good Morning Trading episode, I explain the barrel price shock following the bombings of refineries and depots in Iran, and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. I connect this to energy prices, gasoline, and diesel, then to the tensions on indices (CAC 40, DAX). I also revisit the inflation used as an excuse, and the idea that "It's all talk" when the government promis...

Nasdaq technical analysis: fear-mongering media exaggerate panic 06.03.2026

Nasdaq technical analysis and market overview: I explain why I observe "no panic" despite the Iran/Israel context, and how the reduced retaliation primarily fuels media narratives (miracle weapons, surprise counter-attacks). I highlight the genuine hotspot regarding Lebanon and Hezbollah, then I detail the shift toward technology stocks and the defense sector, while the Dow Jones struggles and gol...

Nasdaq: Do not panic, the media feeds on anxiety 05.03.2026

Nasdaq and technical analysis: I review the rebound around 25,000 points and the key idea of the day, do not panic. I describe the levels (weekly pivot point, monthly pivot), the recent range, and this moment of "balance of force" where I prefer doing nothing rather than flipping a coin. I expand to other indices (CAC 40, DAX 40, Dow Jones, S&P 500), then to Bitcoin with a clear bounce and a b...

Financial markets: why the Iran-Israel war is not causing panic 04.03.2026

Financial markets and market news: in this episode, I review the Iran-Israel war and the surprisingly calm reaction of global indices. Gas is surging (Qatar, supply risks) while oil climbs steadily without panic, around $80, considering the role of the Strait of Hormuz and pipeline bypasses. I compare the pessimism of European indices (CAC 40, DAX 40) with the resilience of US indices (Dow Jones,...

US Jobs Report: When Bad News Boosts the Stock Market 11.02.2026

US Jobs Report analysis: I remind you why figures pointing to a slowdown do not necessarily crash the markets. Between stagnating retail sales, White House warnings, and the debate on employment—job creations versus unemployment—it certainly looks like "bad news" for the economy. But for the Federal Reserve, this weighs heavily on interest rates, and Wall Street—especially the Nasdaq funding AI—is...

Technical Analysis: Why I Skipped Trading & Market Update 10.02.2026

Technical analysis, behind-the-scenes edition: I share why I did not trade yesterday. I was tired, I respected my trading rules, so I chose not to battle the market. Instead, I provide an update on financial market news during a very busy macroeconomic week featuring the US jobs report and inflation data, plus a market waiting for Nvidia. I review the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow Jones (above 50,0...

Financial Markets: From Black Thursday to Rebound, Dow Jones at 50,000 09.02.2026

Financial markets in rollercoaster mode: I recount the contrast between Black Thursday on the Nasdaq and S&P 500 and the very sharp rebound on Friday, carried by Nvidia and Broadcom. I then move to the flip side of the session with Amazon, down, and explain why its investment spending and artificial intelligence weigh on investor analysis, using my concrete example of product recommendations....

Nasdaq: Supports, alerts and US Jobs Report moved to Feb 11, 2026 05.02.2026

Nasdaq and trading: in this episode, I detail a simple method for spotting levels using fixed alerts (250, 500, 750, and 1,000 points) and provide a reading of the monthly support following a breakout and reintegration. I compare the market dynamics with the broader S&P 500 and the more resilient Dow Jones, while highlighting caution zones for Bitcoin and gold (monthly pivot below 5,000). Rega...

Nasdaq: AI Not Only Lifts Markets, It Breaks Sectors 04.02.2026

The Nasdaq dominates this episode as we analyze a session where tech stocks dropped significantly. I cover the intense profit-taking and the support rupture that complicated trading conditions. The discussion focuses on the artificial intelligence catalyst, notably the announcement regarding Claude by Anthropic, and how it impacted enterprise software stocks like SAP. We compare this volatility ag...

Euphoric Markets: Key Move is Rotation, Not Gold or Bitcoin 03.02.2026

Market euphoria and index rebounds are the main focus as Benoist Rousseau breaks down the overnight scare followed by a swift Nasdaq recovery towards 26,000. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones mirror this momentum, while European indices like the CAC 40 and DAX 40 approach key levels. The discussion connects this rally to AI stocks and chip leads. Crucially, the analysis highlights a counter-trend obse...

Nasdaq, S&P, Bitcoin, Gold: Reading Monthly Pivots and Breakouts 30.01.2026

Nasdaq in practical mode: I explain how I frame a session by prioritizing the 9:30 AM timing and key levels. I detail the use of weekly and especially monthly pivots to interpret stabilization, violent rebounds, and relapse risks on the Nasdaq, then I apply the same logic to the S&P 500 and Dow Jones. I also go through Europe (CAC 40 in a range, DAX threatening to break) before a focus on Bitc...

FOMC: Gold Soars, Bitcoin Stalls, and AI Doubts Shake Wall Street 29.01.2026

Benoist Rousseau breaks down the recent FOMC meeting and Fed decisions, describing a session with few surprises. The central bank remains strictly data-dependent, pointing to high inflation and a resilient job market. The episode then shifts to earnings reports from tech giants like Microsoft, Tesla, and Meta. A critical question is rising on Wall Street regarding the profitability of AI investmen...

FOMC: Market Hurricane and Moths Drawn to the Light 28.01.2026

FOMC meetings bring significant volatility and risk to the trading landscape. In this episode, I compare beginners to moths drawn to the light or a pedal boat heading into a cyclone's eye, whereas professionals secure their capital. Drawing on 30 years of experience, I explain why caution is paramount and why I significantly reduce my positions. I analyze the market mood: the Nasdaq rising before...

Nasdaq: Why Shorting a Bull Market Is Often Just Ego 27.01.2026

In this episode focusing on the Nasdaq and the Nasdaq index, I analyze the current bullish dynamic and discuss a simple yet unpopular idea: shorting in this context is often just fighting the flow. I break down specific market levels like 25,750, 25,800, and 26,000, explaining concepts of support and market breathing. You will hear why I prefer waiting for a clean consolidation rather than acting...

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