Behind the Markets Podcast

Show from 02/09/24 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel start off by talking about the light market week. The Prof notes that next week will be much bigger following the release of many important reports. He is confident that if the Fed continues to see the data slowing, they will lower rates. The Prof goes into detail on the tech market, the excitement around AI and how it has been trending...

Show from 02/02/24 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel begin this week's discussion with a look at the latest jobs report. The Prof says the plunge in hours reported is only ever seen in recession times and stresses the importance of further research. The Prof says there is increased concern about the banks again but it appears to be an isolated incident. (10:16) Jeremy continues his convers...

Show from 01/26/24 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegelbegin this week with the Prof describing the market as Goldilocks. Inventory build up may weigh on the first quarter says the Prof. The Fed will not be raising rates next week, but will also not be decreasing them. He also gives us his view on the political race, how it could affect the market and insights into what's going on in Argentin...

Show from 01/19/24 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel begin this week's episode discussing how the market is hitting an all time high. They comment on the current labor market and upcoming layoffs. Jeff asks the professor about the current state of the Chinese Market. (06:03) Liqian and Jeff join to discuss in depth what is happening geopolitically across the world. Liqian covers the Taiwan...

Show from 01/12/24 Host Jeremy Schwartz begins by asking Professor Siegel about all the new data that has come out this past week. The Prof gives us a breakdown of all this new data stating that the economy keeps moving along positively. Jeremy asks the Prof about the Red Sea attacks and how the Fed should be thinking about raising rates during this time. (13:29 Eric joins Jeremy to talk about the...

Show from 1/5/24 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel start the year off by reviewing the holiday market. The Prof explains productivity growth as the difference between inflation and wage increases. He notes that next week's reports will give a better look into how inflation is doing currently, but everything looks positive. Kevin joins as co-host to ask the Prof about the current job marke...

Show from 12/22/23 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel end the year with a discussion on the Professor's prediction on what markets will do in the new year. The Prof gives his opinion on two strong topics about the Fed. He doesn’t believe there will be any slowing of the market however if it does the Fed is ready. Jim joins in to talk with the Prof about money supply. (15:23) Jeremy continu...

Show from 12/15/23 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel talk about the Fed this week. The Prof is surprised by how flexible the Fed has been. He states that this flexibility has shown promise for the markets future of a soft landing due to the previous rate hikes. The Prof gives his opinion on bond duration rates. If there is a recession, he says that bond rates will go down. (10:44) Eric jo...

Show from 12/08/23 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel begin today's show by covering all the data coming in from the last two weeks. The Prof states that the data is relatively weak, but not recession weak. There is no inflationary pressure that indicates further inflation. (9:21) Jeremy is then joined by Uma to discuss her view on the interest rate impact on the real estate market. She ta...

Show from 12/01/23 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel are back from the holidays this week to summarize how great November was. Professor Siegel gets into detail about Fed fund action, not only currently but an estimate into the future as well. (6:42) Liza joins Jeremy to discuss what is going on between the US and China. She covers topics of discussion between both governments and its eff...

Show from 11/17/23 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel discuss their views on the Fed and inflation this week. CPI and PPI came in below expectation. The Prof states the economy is not falling apart but it should be watched closely. He believes the Fed should avoid raising interest rates at this time. Brian joins in to state he agrees with the Prof and to ask him about GDP and if productivi...

Show from 11/10/23 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel begin this week by discussing the Profs views on current market activity. He mentions some noteworthy changes in the job market, a jump in inflationary expectations, and which reports to watch for next week. He says it is way too early to predict what will happen in December. (5:59) Richard Bernstein joins the Professor and Jeremy at Th...

Show from 11/03/23 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel begin this week with a current market overview. Professor Siegel states that the market didn’t fare too well for lower rates. He goes over the current labor market report which has dropped. He discusses Powell and the market increases and decreases. The Professor confirms he still believes there is no fear of a recession. Productivity r...

Show from 10/27/23 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel start this week's discussion with mixed reactions. The market data is still strong this week according to the Professor. He mentions that the money supply is showing weakness and could be of concern for robust economic growth. He notes that agreements with car manufacturing companies will help keep plants running. He talks about the new...

Show from 10/20/23 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel begin by summarizing current rate reports that are being released. Professor Siegel doesn't think The Fed will raise rates on November 1st. Mid December will bring new unemployment rate reports to watch for. He states there may be some caution going into the fourth quarter but nothing serious yet due to interest rates. The market is und...

Show from 10/13/23 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel discuss the economic uncertainties, such as rising inflation, geopolitical risks, and potential government shutdowns. Professor Siegel believes that while there are warning signs, the data does not indicate an imminent recession, attributing low unemployment claims and expected seasonal economic boosts as positive signs. He also argues...

Show from 10/06/23 Prof. Siegel joins Jeremy Schwartz with his weekly review of the current market. They cover the most recent jobs report and the strength it’s suggesting. Prof. Siegel thinks that the only real hurt will be felt in the housing market. He doesn’t believe there will be a rate hike in November. They also talk about this weeks big drop in oil. He states that real GDP growth looks str...

Show from 9/29/23 Prof. Siegel joins Jeremy Schwartz beginning with some more data this week on the market. He feels the economy is doing very well, especially after the trade report came out. A government slowdown may challenge the strength of the market, but the numbers are strong. He talks about his article on Barron’s. They dive into the future of housing and the job market as well. (10:11) Ho...

Show from 9/22/23 Jeremy Schwartz asks Prof. Siegel his views on the current weekly market activity and his reaction to The Fed. (8:05) Jeremy joins Matt and JC live from the Future Proof Festival to talk about Halo Investing and the markets. JC starts off by explaining how they approach the market and read trends. He talks about the latest presidential climate and how it could affect the market i...

Show from 9/15/23 Prof. Siegel joins Jeremy Schwartz with a breakdown of a very big week for the market. He does note an increase in inflation but it shouldn’t result in an increase for next week. He also discusses the large rise in oil, noting long lines at gas stations and the impact the rise will have. He previews the upcoming week with a prediction that it will be hawkish. He finishes with a q...

Show from 9/8/23 Prof. Siegel joins Jeremy Schwartz and their colleagues Jeff and Liqian with his reaction to the softer tones of the market this week. He feels that China’s threat to remove Apple is a bit out of proportion which has affected the market. Although the market is not doing strong, he feels we aren’t anywhere near a recession. He doesn’t think the Fed should increase rates in Septembe...

Show from 9/1/23 Prof. Siegel joins Jeremy Schwartz this week with his analysis of the new employment report and the fade of fear in the labor market. He also discusses inflation and the housing market fueling his positive outlook on the current total market trend. (08:38) This week's guest, Jack Farley, starts off by asking Prof. Seigel about the downward revisions in non-farm payrolls as well as...

Show from 8/25/23 Prof. Siegel joins Jeremy Schwartz this week to discuss his disappointment in the Powell speech as well as the Nvidia stock drop. They discuss the surprising drop Nvidia had after a large spike in the market. (09:12) Daniel Di Martino begins by telling us what he does at Columbia University, his move to America and more about his personal story. He discusses what he thought about...

Show from 8/18/23 Prof. Siegel and Jeremy Schwartz begin by highlighting the significant surge in 10-year and TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) yields to their highest levels in decades. They discuss the remarkable increase from negative rates a few years ago, along with the equity premium's alignment with historical averages, reflecting overall strength in the economy. With upcoming...

Show from 8/11/23 Prof. Siegel joins Jeremy Schwartz to dissect the current state of the economy. They discuss everything from jobless claims and inflation to the roles of major companies like Tesla and Ford. With an optimistic yet cautious tone, Prof. Siegel offers a glimpse into what the future may hold for the markets. (10:07) Dom Rizzo, a portfolio manager for T Rowe Price, discusses his caree...