Option Trader – Yaho

日経225オプション裸買投資戦記 – Nikkei 225 Naked Option Warfare

Business JA ↓ 446 episodes

時間的消耗と無関心が利益の源泉である “Temporal decay and indifference are the source of profit.”-225NOW Model:https://225now.streamlit.app/-Originally developed in 2024 to monitor systemic risk, the model extends Black-Scholes with volatility skew, macro-driven decay, and cross-asset interdependencies, creating an index-sensitive option arbitrage framework. Beyond quantitative use, it archives voice, text, and formulas as durable assets to preserve insight through cycles and systemic resets. Coverage: Options, Volatility, Nikkei 225, S&P 500, Gold, FX, Fixed Income, Macro, Geopolitics, Electri...

Author

Option Trader – Yaho

Episodes

Redefining the Risk-Free Rate: In the Age of AI, Will Sovereign Bonds or Energy Rule?｜2025/6/7 07.06.2025 7:12

The puts of the past won't necessarily be the puts of the future.

リスクフリーレート再定義──AI時代、支配するのは国債かエネルギーか｜2025/6/7 07.06.2025 12:22

これまでのプットが、これからのプットとは限らない。

Overvalued but Unbroken — The Market Balance Sustained Without Buyers｜2025/6/6 06.06.2025 4:43

In a market with no buyers, the sellers’ impatience creates the balance.

割高でも崩れない──買い手不在の中で続く株価の均衡｜2025/6/6 06.06.2025 9:42

買い手なき相場、売り手の焦りが均衡をつくる。

Trump’s Tax Cuts in Motion — U.S. Dominance, Japan’s Struggles, and the AI Frontier｜2025/6/5 05.06.2025 4:35

Can You Move Forward in an Era of Stagnation?

トランプ減税で動き出す世界──米国一強時代と日本の試練、そしてAI｜2025/6/5 05.06.2025 11:39

足踏みの時代に、動き出せるか

Nikkei Hit by Narrowing Yield Spread — BOJ Cuts and 30-Year Auction in Focus｜2025/6/5 04.06.2025 4:46

Are Internal Factors Taking Over External Risks?

日経平均を襲う日米金利差縮小──日銀買入れ減額と日本の30年国債入札｜2025/6/5 04.06.2025 7:06

外的要因より、内的要因？

Is the Nikkei’s Strength Real? — Share Buybacks and a Distorted Market｜2025/6/4 04.06.2025 5:02

Behind the highs, a distortion too big to ignore.

高値圏を維持する日経平均──自社株買いが歪めるマーケットは強いといえるか｜2025/6/4 04.06.2025 7:03

高値圏の陰に、見過ごせない歪み。

Russia-Ukraine War: Peace Talks or Hidden Triggers? — November’s Nuclear Doctrine Revision｜2025/6/3 03.06.2025 4:34

Will the Quiet Rule Change of November 2024 Quietly Start to Take Effect Now?

ロシア・ウクライナ戦争は和平かそれとも？──11月核ドクトリン改定は伏線か｜2025/6/3 03.06.2025 7:39

2024年11月の静かなルール変更が、いま静かに効き始めるか。

Japan and Canada: Geopolitics and AI Security｜2025/6/2 02.06.2025 5:24

An Era of Protecting Information

日経下落と高まる地政学リスク──日本とカナダ、そしてAI時代の情報防衛｜2025/6/2 02.06.2025 9:10

情報は、守る時代へ。

Nikkei Falls, Trump Tariff Talks — 111 Days of a Quiet Market｜2025/5/30 30.05.2025 6:47

In the Weekend Silence, Who Moves First: AI or Humans?

日経下落、トランプ関税交渉──111日目の静かな市場｜2025/5/30 30.05.2025 11:34

週末の静寂、次に動くのはAIか人か

AI Shock Doctrine — The Birth Pains and the Decline of Acceptable PER｜2025/5/30 29.05.2025 3:46

Is pain the price of an AI-powered future?

AIショック・ドクトリン──生みの苦しみと許容PERの低減｜2025/5/30 29.05.2025 8:03

AI未来には生みの苦しみが必要？

Stubbornly High Rates, Weak EPS Ahead — Where Does the Acceptable PER Stand?｜2025/5/29 28.05.2025 5:05

It’s time to ask: Is there still a reason to buy?

金利が高止まり、弱含む将来EPS──許容できるPERはどこか｜2025/5/29 28.05.2025 8:13

買う理由がどこにあるか考えるべき時だ

The Market Took a Loxonin — But the Fever Isn’t Gone Yet｜ 2025/5/28 28.05.2025 4:47

Aren’t You Just Forcing Yourself with Cold Medicine?

薬で熱を抑えた相場──日本株の“ロキソニン的上昇”に潜む不安｜ 2025/5/28 28.05.2025 9:10

それ、風邪薬で無理やり動いてませんか？

¥8.5T in Losses: A Time Bomb for Life Insurers｜ 2025/5/27 27.05.2025 4:11

Could a 0.1% Rate Hike Wipe Out ¥1 Trillion?*Note: Some of the top four life insurers do not publicly disclose their net assets, but the total is estimated to be around ¥180 to ¥220 trillion.

生保4社に迫る債券リスク──国内債8.5兆円の含み損が示唆する文脈｜ 2025/5/27 27.05.2025 7:53

0.1%の金利で約1兆円が吹き飛ぶ？※生保4社の純資産について公開情報がないものもあるのでおそらく約18～22兆円

Stocks Rally, Bonds Waver — A Two-Faced Market | 2025/5/26 26.05.2025 5:10

Even with strong stock prices, I can’t help but worry about the EPS.