Colton Thomas
Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopedia
Charged Alpha reviews earnings for each stock in the Russel 1000 every quarter. Each podcast gives thorough analysis, along with an in-depth profile in the beginning of the episode of the company, what they do, how they earn money and what to look for.
Bezoek zeker de website van de podcast en steun de maker: chargedalpha.podbean.com
Auteur
Colton Thomas
Categorie
Website van de podcast
Nieuwste aflevering
27 okt. 2026
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Afleveringen
IOT Stock: Samsara’s Best Profit Quarter Came With a Growth Warning (Q2 FY2027) 04.09.2026 14:35
Samsara (IOT) Q2 FY2027 — Shares closed up 5.3% to $38.75 the session the print landed. Samsara posted its best quarter of profitability in company history — non-GAAP operating margin jumped from 15% to 21% and GAAP operating income turned positive — then guided Q3 revenue growth down to 24%, six points below the 30% it just reported. THE CALL: BEARISH (2/5, LOW-MODERATE) — base-case value ~$17.90...
SNOW Stock: Every Forecast Went Up Except The One That’s Cash Q2 FY2027 04.09.2026 16:11
Snowflake, Inc. (SNOW) Q2 FY2027 — Shares rose 16.6% to $356.47, a new 12-month high, after Snowflake beat on revenue and raised its FY2027 product-revenue and operating-margin guidance for a second consecutive quarter, while leaving the adjusted free-cash-flow-margin guide unchanged at 23.0% for the third straight update. Snowflake has now guided its fiscal 2027 adjusted free cash flow margin at...
AGX Stock: The Billion-Dollar Cash Pile That Is Only Half Real | Q2 FY2027 04.09.2026 15:03
Argan, Inc. (AGX) Q2 FY2027 — It is +0.33% since the print - essentially flat - after already being cut roughly in half from its June high. Argan just posted a record quarter and a headline cash balance of $1,028.4M, or $73.30 a share - but $627.0M of that is customer prepayments. Net of those, real liquidity is only $440.4M, or $31.39 a share. Meanwhile the order book has fallen three quarters ru...
CPB Stock: A Billion In Cash Flow, Debt Went Up Anyway Q4 FY2026 04.09.2026 12:44
The Campbell's Company (CPB) Q4 FY2026 — Shares fell 6.9% to $22.13 on roughly seven times average volume after Campbell's cut its quarterly dividend 36% and guided fiscal 2027 below where the leverage ratio actually improves. Campbell's generated $1,039 million of operating cash flow in fiscal 2026 and ended the year owing $280 million more in gross borrowings than when it started. This morning i...
FIVE Stock: $3.99 EPS, But Only $1.68 Is Real | Five Below Q2 FY2026 04.09.2026 13:13
Five Below (FIVE) Q2 FY2026 — It has gone nowhere since the print, having already run 90% off its October low. Five Below reported diluted EPS of $3.99 - and $2.33 of that was a one-time IEEPA tariff refund booked inside cost of goods sold, which is why COGS FELL 5.2% while net sales rose 22.9%. Strip it out and adjusted EPS was $1.68, still up 107% and still 20% ahead of the Street, on comparable...
WOOF Stock: Petco Q2 FY2026 Earnings - Profit Tripled, Two Thirds From Tax 04.09.2026 14:59
Petco (WOOF) Q2 FY2026 — It gapped more than 20% higher on the print and handed the whole move back within the session. Petco reported second-quarter net income of $38.7M against $14.0M a year ago - but $16.5M of that $24.7M increase is the income tax line, which swung from a $0.7M charge to a $15.7M credit. Strip the $6.8M IEEPA tariff refund the company quantifies and operating income actually f...
CHPT Stock: The Interest Bill That Vanished | ChargePoint Q2 FY2027 04.09.2026 14:28
ChargePoint (CHPT) Q2 FY2027 — It is up 74% since the print, on the heaviest volume of the year by a distance. ChargePoint carries $236.9M of debt and booked $279 thousand of interest expense for the quarter. That is not an error: November's exchange of $328.6M of convertible notes was accounted for as a troubled debt restructuring, which capitalised the whole future coupon into the balance sheet...
AVGO Stock: The Beat Was Sold Again - Gross Margin Is Why | Broadcom Q3 FY2026 03.09.2026 14:57
Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 FY2026 — It is down 5.1% since the print - the second quarter running that a beat has been sold. Broadcom beat on revenue and on earnings, and guided Q4 revenue ABOVE consensus - and the stock still fell. The answer is four lines below the headline: adjusted gross margin went from 78.35% to 74.99%, and the Q4 guide implies about 72.03%. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case...
NTSK Stock: Every Guide Rose Except The One Measured In Cash Q2 FY2027 03.09.2026 12:57
Netskope (NTSK) Q2 FY2027 — It opened 12.8% higher, gave the whole gap back, and sits about 3% above the pre-print close. Netskope beat every line it guided to in June and raised the full year - and quietly cut its full-year free cash flow margin guide from "2% to 4%" to "approximately 2%". The first half burned $87.0M. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$15.01 vs ~$14.16 today. KEY...
ADUR Stock: Aduro’s Only Plant Runs at 10 Kilograms an Hour (FY2026 Annual Results) 03.09.2026 14:37
Aduro Clean Technologies (ADUR) FY2026 — The shares fell 3.5% the next session, from $13.82 to $13.34. Aduro booked C$167,206 of revenue for the entire fiscal year - thousand, not million - down 27.7%, and nil in the fourth quarter. Interest on its own cash earned C$705,097, more than four times what customers paid. The reported C$26.85m loss is 63.5% non-cash, and the largest piece is a warrant m...
DAKT Stock: Daktronics Booked $192M and Shipped $235M (Q1 FY2027 Earnings) 03.09.2026 13:13
Daktronics (DAKT) Q1 FY2027 — The stock opened $21.50 and touched $21.82, then closed at $19.13 - down 1.2% from the $19.36 prior close - on 2.86 million shares against a roughly 470 thousand average. Daktronics posted its highest diluted EPS in twelve quarters, 40 cents against 33, on sales up 7.1% and a 10.6% operating margin. It also booked $191.8m of new orders against $234.6m of sales - a boo...
CXM Stock: Sprinklr Sold More Software and Made Less Gross Profit (Q2 FY2027) 03.09.2026 14:20
Sprinklr (CXM) Q2 FY2027 — The stock fell 8.6% the same session, from $7.60 to $6.95, on 8.2 million shares against a 3.6 million average. Sprinklr grew subscription revenue 3.4% and the cost of delivering that subscription grew 17.8%, so subscription gross profit went BACKWARDS year on year. Operating expense moved 0.27%. The gross line explains 86% of a $6.3m fall in operating income, and 75% of...
BF.B Stock: Profit Grew 4%, But the Guide Says the Year Shrinks (Brown-Forman Q1 FY2027) 03.09.2026 13:40
Brown-Forman (BFB) Q1 FY2027 — The stock rose 3.9% the same session, from $26.36 to $27.38, on 4.0 million shares against a 2.9 million average. Brown-Forman grew organic operating income 4% and reaffirmed its full-year outlook - an outlook that calls for organic operating income to FALL 3% to 5%. Q1 is about a quarter of the year's profit, so the remaining nine months have to fall roughly 5% to 8...
DELL Stock: Revenue +58%, But Free Cash Flow Fell 47% (Dell Q2 FY2027 Earnings) 03.09.2026 14:00
Dell Technologies (DELL) Q2 FY2027 — The stock rose 15.8% the next session, from $425.00 to $492.20, on 6.2x normal volume. Dell grew revenue 58% to $46.97bn, trebled non-GAAP EPS to $7.04 against a $4.91 Street bar, expanded every margin it reports, and added $25bn to its own full-year guide. Free cash flow still fell 47%, to $986m. The record $8,149m of 'adjusted free cash flow' in the headline...
FuelCell Stock: Backlog Tripled, Margin Collapsed - We Say AVOID (FCEL Q3 FY2026) 03.09.2026 15:10
FuelCell Energy (FCEL) Q3 FY2026 — The stock fell 15.7% on the print, from $17.08 to $14.40, on 1.9x average volume. FuelCell Energy tripled its order book to $3.65bn and signed its first data-centre power agreement - and the stock lost about a sixth of its value in a single session. The reason is four lines into the cost statement: product revenue of $18.0m against product cost of revenues of $37...
PANW Stock: Revenue +34%, But Its Own Filing Says 16% - We Say SELL (Q4 FY2026) 03.09.2026 15:10
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Q4 FY2026 — The stock fell 9.3% the next session, from $362.09 to $328.48. Palo Alto beat every line of its own guidance, grew revenue 34.5% to $3.41bn, and guided fiscal 2027 above consensus on both revenue and earnings - and the shares still fell 9.3%. The reason sits in a table the company published three months earlier: on a pro forma basis, as though it had always ow...
Credo Stock: It Bought $1.25bn Mid-Quarter, Won’t Say What It Earns (CRDO Q1 FY2027) 03.09.2026 14:35
Credo Technology (CRDO) Q1 FY2027 — The stock fell 20.0% the next session, from $206.63 to $165.22. Revenue rose 9.6% sequentially and adjusted earnings beat. But the $1,251m DustPhotonics acquisition closed on 28 May, inside this quarter, and neither the release nor the Form 10-Q filed the next day discloses one dollar of the acquired revenue - Credo judged the acquisitions immaterial to its resu...
GTLB Stock: Shares Rose 10%, Gross Margin Fell A Sixth Time - GitLab Q2 FY2027 03.09.2026 14:26
GitLab (GTLB) Q2 FY2027 — Shares closed at $49.59 on September 2, up 9.98% on the print - but they opened at $55.20 and handed back more than half the move before the close, on 28.9M shares against a 5.4M daily norm. GitLab's revenue rose 21.3% to $286.3M and beat its own guide by $13.3M. Gross profit grew only 16.0%. Gross margin fell to 84.1% from 87.9% - the SIXTH consecutive quarterly decline,...
MongoDB Stock: Backlog +91%, But 70% Was Never Invoiced - We Say SELL (MDB Q2 FY2027) 03.09.2026 8:56
MongoDB (MDB) Q2 FY2027 — The stock fell 13.5% the next session, from $434.21 to $375.40. The contracted backlog nearly doubled to $1.52bn and the tape read that as visibility. The 10-Q says 70.5% of it has never been invoiced to anybody and converts at the customers' own discretion - and only 18% of first-half revenue was sitting on the balance sheet when the half began. THE CALL: SELL (3/5, MODE...
HealthEquity Stock: A Record Quarter - and a $3B Rate Lock. Why We Say HOLD (HQY Q2 FY2027) 02.09.2026 14:00
HealthEquity (HQY) Q2 FY2027 — The stock fell 10.6% the same day, from $104.42 to $93.39. Records on every line, guidance raised - and the filing shows the company has fixed the rate on $3.04bn of future HSA cash at 3.93%, a position now $91.5m underwater that Note 10 feeds back through custodial revenue. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$101.27 vs ~$97.00 today. KEY METRICS: - Re...
SAIC Stock: Pretax Profit Up 10%, Net Income Down 20% Q2 FY2027 02.09.2026 14:37
Science Applications International (SAIC) Q2 FY2027 — Shares gapped 11.5% on results day and touched a 52-week high of $142.66, then handed the whole move back to close at $128.22, up just 1.79% on 4.6x volume; one session later they sit at $126.78. SAIC's income before income taxes ROSE 10.2% to $119M. Its net income FELL 19.7% to $102M. The entire $36M gap is one line: the base quarter carried a...
Sasol Stock (SSL): HOLD Call - Best Year In Five, Written Down Again FY2026 02.09.2026 14:28
Sasol Limited (SSL) FY2026 — SSL closed at $12.45, +3.6% against the $12.02 prior close, on 1.99m shares - about 2.4x the prior session. The ADR has risen 79% in twelve months and is still 12.9% below the $14.29 it reached on 5 May. Secunda - the coal-to-liquids complex behind almost all of Sasol's profit - had its highest annual output in five years and beat guidance. Sasol wrote it down anyway:...
YEXT Stock: HOLD - The Beat Came From The Buyback Q2 FY2027 02.09.2026 13:20
Yext (YEXT) Q2 FY2027 — YEXT closed the reaction session at $6.53, -3.5% on 2.90m shares, 2.2x the prior session - a beat, sold. Adjusted diluted EPS went $0.12 to $0.21 against a $0.17 bar. Decomposed, 4.4 cents of the 8.1-cent rise is the smaller share count and only 3.8 cents is higher profit - so 54% of the growth came from the denominator, and the share-count effect is larger than the 4.0-cen...
MiniMed Stock (MMED): HOLD Call - $319M Owed On The Growth Q1 FY2027 02.09.2026 14:57
MiniMed Group (MMED) Q1 FY2027 — MMED closed the reaction session at $22.42, +10.7% - the highest close it has ever had, on 6.07m shares, 5.1x the twenty-day median and 21.7% of the entire public float. MiniMed Flex - the insulin pump behind a U.S. growth acceleration to 13.1% and a +10.7% session - was developed on $324m of funding from Blackstone Life Sciences. For the first two years after U.S....
NIO Stock: SELL Call - 24,193 More Cars And A Bigger Loss Q2 2026 02.09.2026 14:35
NIO Inc (NIO) Q2 2026 — NIO closed the reaction session at $4.06, -4.0% - the lowest close in twelve months, on 81m shares. It is 49.4% below its $7.89 high of 2 October 2025. NIO delivered 24,193 more vehicles in the June quarter than in the March quarter - a 29.0% jump, and 49.4% more than a year ago. Those extra cars brought RMB1,047m of incremental gross profit and cost RMB1,086m of incrementa...
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