Arie van Gemeren

The Timeless Investor Show

The Timeless Investor Show explores how serious thinkers build wealth, resilience, and lasting success across generations. Hosted by Arie van Gemeren, CFA - The Timeless Investor Show connects history, philosophy, and real-world investing lessons into practical frameworks for today's investors, with a core focus on real estate investing. We study empires, cycles, currencies, and capital stewardship - and translate timeless principles into real-world action. Think well. Act wisely. Build something timeless.

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Forfatter

Arie van Gemeren

Kategori

Business

Podkastens nettsted

thetimelessinvestor.substack.com

Siste episode

23. sep 2026

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Episoder

The Bardi & Peruzzi Crisis: A 600-Year-Old Warning for Modern Funds 22.01.2026

What can a 14th-century financial ruin teach a 21st-century fund manager? In this episode, we take a deep dive into the 1345 collapse of the Bardi and Peruzzi banking houses—the dominant financial titans of the medieval world. When King Edward III defaulted on a massive debt to fund the 100 Years' War, he triggered a contagion that reshaped the global economy. We explore why these sophisticated fa...

Gold, the Dollar, and the Monetary System That's Cracking | Mario Innecco 14.01.2026

Warren Buffett once said he'd rather own farmland than gold. But gold has outperformed Berkshire Hathaway since 1998. And central banks around the world are quietly accumulating more of it than at any point in modern history. Why? In this episode, I sit down with Mario Innecco - host of Maneco64, one of YouTube's leading channels on precious metals with over 166,000 subscribers - to unpack...

Savings & Loan Crisis 2.0: Lessons from the RTC for Today’s Real Estate Market 12.01.2026

In this episode of the Timeless Investor Show , host Ari van Gemeren breaks down the historical collapse of the Savings and Loan (S&L) industry and why it serves as a critical blueprint for the current real estate landscape. Discover how the "3-6-3 rule" failed, the massive impact of Paul Volcker’s interest rate hikes, and how the Resolution Trust Corporation (RTC) created the larges...

$12/Week Office Boy to Billionaire: Harry Helmsley's 40-Year Real Estate Strategy 05.01.2026

Harry Helmsley started as a $12/week office boy in 1925. By the 1970s, he owned more real estate than anyone in America—the Empire State Building, 60+ office buildings, 30+ hotels, over $5 billion in assets. His strategy? Buy quality buildings in quality locations. Never sell. Just compound. No flipping. No syndicate exits. No IRR optimization. Just 40+ years of patient accumulation. In this episo...

2025 Predictions Exposed: What I Got Right & Wrong 29.12.2025

A SPECIAL REPORT: Last December, I published a 23-page report predicting what would happen in 2025 — treasury yields, inflation, GDP, housing supply. Today, I'm grading myself in public. Predicted 10Y Treasury: 4.1% → Actual: 4.11% Predicted Seattle Permits: -36% → Actual: -50% Predicted Inflation: 2.5% → Actual: 2.7% Most predictions were directionally right. Some were wrong. And 2025 threw c...

Time Preference: The Psychology That Built Civilizations 22.12.2025

Notre-Dame Cathedral took 182 years to build. Your iPhone is designed to die in two. The men who laid those first stones knew they would never see the finished building. They planted trees they would never sit under. They built something timeless. We don't do that anymore. What changed? One concept explains it all: Time Preference — the degree to which you discount the future relative to the p...

The Butcher's Son Who Bought Manhattan: John Jacob Astor's $276 Billion Fortune 18.12.2025

1837. Banks collapse. Real estate craters 80%. Most investors are wiped out. One 74-year-old immigrant is buying. John Jacob Astor arrived in America with $25 and seven flutes. He scraped fur pelts in a Lower Manhattan shop. He tried — and failed — to colonize the entire West Coast, losing ships, men, and millions when his vessel exploded off Vancouver Island. Then he pivoted to real estate and be...

How Tax Farming Killed the Ottoman Empire—And What America Does Today 15.12.2025

In 1595, a desperate Sultan auctioned off the right to collect taxes. The buyer—a merchant from Thessaloniki—didn't care if the province starved. His contract was only 3 years. This system, called Iltizam (tax farming), would hollow out one of history's most powerful empires over 300 years. By 1800, it represented 80% of Ottoman revenue—up from 36% a century earlier. But the Ottomans weren...

How The Black Death Created The Modern World 12.12.2025

October 1347. Twelve ships dock in Sicily. Most of the sailors are already dead. Within three years, half of Europe would be gone. But from that catastrophe came everything: capitalism, individual rights, the printing press, the age of exploration, the scientific revolution, the enlightenment—the very idea that tomorrow can be better than yesterday. You and I are living in a world the plague creat...

When One Bank Almost Destroyed the British Empire | Barings Crisis 1890 08.12.2025

November 8th, 1890. The head of the most powerful merchant bank on earth walks into the Bank of England to confess: in 72 hours, his bank will be bankrupt—and it might take the British Empire down with it. Barings Brothers financed the Louisiana Purchase. They were called "the sixth great power of Europe." And they had just bet everything on Argentina—the AI boom of its era—and lost. The...

When Tokyo Was Worth More Than America: The Japanese Real Estate Bubble & What It Means for Today 01.12.2025

Send us a text In 1989, the land under Tokyo's Imperial Palace was worth more than all of California. Tokyo's real estate exceeded the entire United States in value. The Nikkei hit 38,957 — and didn't reach that level again until February 2024. This isn't ancient history. It's a warning. In this episode, I break down the Japanese real estate bubble — the most spectacular p...

The Lloyd’s Disaster: How 34,000 Investors Lost Everything 24.11.2025

Send us a text In 1993, thousands of investors around the world opened letters from Lloyd’s of London demanding sums that didn’t seem real. £300,000. £1 million. £3 million. Not money they invested — money they owed . Doctors, farmers, aristocrats, retirees… entire families financially erased overnight. In this episode of The Timeless Investor Show , I break down one of the greatest financial cata...

Pattern Recognition, Humility, and the YouTube Deal That Changed Everything — Sean Dempsey 17.11.2025

Send us a text In 2005, Sean Dempsey tried to buy a tiny video startup on behalf of Google.  The founders laughed him off. Eighteen months later, Google paid $1.65 billion for that same company… and the entire industry mocked the decision. Analysts called it reckless. Wall Street rolled its eyes. Today, that acquisition is worth over $300 billion. In this episode, Sean — now co-founder of Merus Ca...

When Paper Money Destroys Nations: France’s Assignat Collapse 10.11.2025

Send us a text In 1790, revolutionary France thought it had solved its financial crisis by printing a new kind of paper money — the Assignat — backed by confiscated church land. Within five years, it destroyed the French economy, vaporized the middle class, and set the stage for dictatorship. In this episode, Arie Van Gemeren breaks down the world’s first great fiat collapse — how the Assignat beg...

The Panic That Birthed the Fed: JP Morgan, Jekyll Island, and the Secret Origins of the Federal Reserve 03.11.2025

Send us a text In October 1907, the U.S. banking system imploded overnight.  Knickerbocker Trust collapsed, panic spread through New York, and the entire American economy teetered on the edge of destruction. Only one man could stop it— J.P. Morgan , a private citizen wealthier than the U.S. Treasury. For three weeks, Morgan personally decided which banks lived and which died, locking financiers in...

The Match King: How Ivar Kruger’s $6 Billion Fraud Brought Europe to Its Knees 27.10.2025

Send us a text In 1932, the world’s richest man pulled the trigger that ended an empire.   Ivar Kruger , known as The Match King , controlled ¾ of the world’s match production, financed governments across Europe, and was hailed as the “savior of Europe.” But behind the empire was one of the greatest financial frauds in history—$6 billion (2024 value) in forged bonds, fake subsidiaries, and Ponzi-s...

Venice: How a Blind 97-Year-Old Built a 1,000-Year Empire | The Timeless Investor 20.10.2025

Send us a text April 12th, 1204 AD. A 97-year-old blind man led the assault on Constantinople—the richest city on earth—and walked away with three-eighths of an empire. His name was Enrico Dandolo, Doge of Venice. And what happened next changed the course of Western history. This is the story of how Venice—built on mud, wooden stakes, and 118 swampy islands—became the wealthiest trading empire in...

From Slave to Supreme Admiral: Zheng He's Treasure Fleet & 6 Investing Lessons 13.10.2025

Send us a text What if China had a 100-year head start on European colonial dominance—and threw it away? In 1405, nearly a century before Columbus, Chinese Admiral Zheng He commanded 317 ships and 27,800 men. His fleet was the largest in human history. His flagship was five times bigger than the Santa Maria. He reached East Africa, mapped the Indian Ocean, and built trade networks across three con...

The Shadow Banking Collapse of 1772 (And Why Wall Street Is Selling It To You Again) 06.10.2025

Send us a text December 27, 1772. Clifford & Co.—one of Europe's most prestigious banking houses—shuts its doors with nearly $1 billion in liabilities (in today's money). Within weeks, the contagion spreads: 20 banks collapse across Amsterdam, London, Hamburg, and beyond. The world's first global financial crisis. The culprit? Mortgage-backed securities on Caribbean plantations,...

The Potosí Silver Scandal: How Fraud Destroyed the Spanish Empire 27.09.2025

Send us a text What happens when the world's most trusted currency becomes worthless overnight? Not through war or conquest, but fraud so massive it brings down an empire. This is the story of the Potosí mines scandal - how Spanish officials debased silver coins, stole billions, and destroyed the foundation of global finance in the 1600s. The Spanish Empire went from controlling 25% of the wo...

Black Friday 1866: The Banking Collapse That Changed Finance Forever | Shadow Banking Crisis History 22.09.2025

Send us a text In May 1866, the world's largest financial institution collapsed in a single day, triggering the first global banking crisis and reshaping modern finance forever. Overend, Gurney & Company wasn't just any bank - they were THREE TIMES larger than their nearest competitor and considered the safest institution in the world. When they fell, over 200 companies failed, the B...

From $500M in Called Loans to Self-Storage Empire: Brad Minsley's Vertical Integration Playbook 15.09.2025

Send us a text In 2008, Brad Minsley faced every real estate developer's nightmare: $500 million in loans called across 27 banks. Most operators would have been wiped out. Instead, Brad fought back, survived the crisis, and used those hard-won lessons to build Ten Federal - one of the most innovative self-storage companies in America. Today, Ten Federal operates 120 facilities with revolution...

The Sassoon Dynasty: From Baghdad to Bombay - How Refugees Built Asia's Real Estate Empire 08.09.2025

Send us a text They called him the Rothschild of the East. But while the Rothschilds moved paper, David Sassoon built infrastructure. In 1829, he fled Baghdad with nothing but two saddlebags of gold. By 1860, his family controlled the largest trading house in Asia. By 1940, they owned half of Shanghai. This isn't just another rags-to-riches story. It's a masterclass in turning displaceme...

The Kipper & Wipper Crisis: History's Forgotten Financial Catastrophe 01.09.2025

Send us a text 1621. The Thirty Years War is bleeding German treasuries dry, and desperate princes discover what seems like the perfect solution: improve their coins by making them cheaper to produce. What could go wrong? Everything. In this deep dive into one of history's most overlooked financial disasters, we explore how professional coin clippers called "Kipper & Wipper" acc...

Andrew Jackson's War on the Money Monopoly 26.08.2025

Send us a text The president had a bullet lodged in his chest and gold coins in his pocket. His enemy controlled America's entire money supply. What happened next changed American finance for 200 years. In 1833, President Andrew Jackson did something unthinkable - he destroyed the most powerful financial institution in America. The Second Bank of the United States controlled the nation's...

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