Colton Thomas

Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopedia

Charged Alpha reviews earnings for each stock in the Russel 1000 every quarter. Each podcast gives thorough analysis, along with an in-depth profile in the beginning of the episode of the company, what they do, how they earn money and what to look for.

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Forfatter

Colton Thomas

Kategori

Business

Podkastens nettsted

chargedalpha.podbean.com

Siste episode

24. okt 2026

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Episoder

NTSK Stock: Every Guide Rose Except The One Measured In Cash Q2 FY2027 03.09.2026

Netskope (NTSK) Q2 FY2027 — It opened 12.8% higher, gave the whole gap back, and sits about 3% above the pre-print close. Netskope beat every line it guided to in June and raised the full year - and quietly cut its full-year free cash flow margin guide from "2% to 4%" to "approximately 2%". The first half burned $87.0M. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$15.01 vs ~$14.16 today. KEY...

ADUR Stock: Aduro’s Only Plant Runs at 10 Kilograms an Hour (FY2026 Annual Results) 03.09.2026

Aduro Clean Technologies (ADUR) FY2026 — The shares fell 3.5% the next session, from $13.82 to $13.34. Aduro booked C$167,206 of revenue for the entire fiscal year - thousand, not million - down 27.7%, and nil in the fourth quarter. Interest on its own cash earned C$705,097, more than four times what customers paid. The reported C$26.85m loss is 63.5% non-cash, and the largest piece is a warrant m...

DAKT Stock: Daktronics Booked $192M and Shipped $235M (Q1 FY2027 Earnings) 03.09.2026

Daktronics (DAKT) Q1 FY2027 — The stock opened $21.50 and touched $21.82, then closed at $19.13 - down 1.2% from the $19.36 prior close - on 2.86 million shares against a roughly 470 thousand average. Daktronics posted its highest diluted EPS in twelve quarters, 40 cents against 33, on sales up 7.1% and a 10.6% operating margin. It also booked $191.8m of new orders against $234.6m of sales - a boo...

CXM Stock: Sprinklr Sold More Software and Made Less Gross Profit (Q2 FY2027) 03.09.2026

Sprinklr (CXM) Q2 FY2027 — The stock fell 8.6% the same session, from $7.60 to $6.95, on 8.2 million shares against a 3.6 million average. Sprinklr grew subscription revenue 3.4% and the cost of delivering that subscription grew 17.8%, so subscription gross profit went BACKWARDS year on year. Operating expense moved 0.27%. The gross line explains 86% of a $6.3m fall in operating income, and 75% of...

BF.B Stock: Profit Grew 4%, But the Guide Says the Year Shrinks (Brown-Forman Q1 FY2027) 03.09.2026

Brown-Forman (BFB) Q1 FY2027 — The stock rose 3.9% the same session, from $26.36 to $27.38, on 4.0 million shares against a 2.9 million average. Brown-Forman grew organic operating income 4% and reaffirmed its full-year outlook - an outlook that calls for organic operating income to FALL 3% to 5%. Q1 is about a quarter of the year's profit, so the remaining nine months have to fall roughly 5% to 8...

DELL Stock: Revenue +58%, But Free Cash Flow Fell 47% (Dell Q2 FY2027 Earnings) 03.09.2026

Dell Technologies (DELL) Q2 FY2027 — The stock rose 15.8% the next session, from $425.00 to $492.20, on 6.2x normal volume. Dell grew revenue 58% to $46.97bn, trebled non-GAAP EPS to $7.04 against a $4.91 Street bar, expanded every margin it reports, and added $25bn to its own full-year guide. Free cash flow still fell 47%, to $986m. The record $8,149m of 'adjusted free cash flow' in the headline...

FuelCell Stock: Backlog Tripled, Margin Collapsed - We Say AVOID (FCEL Q3 FY2026) 03.09.2026

FuelCell Energy (FCEL) Q3 FY2026 — The stock fell 15.7% on the print, from $17.08 to $14.40, on 1.9x average volume. FuelCell Energy tripled its order book to $3.65bn and signed its first data-centre power agreement - and the stock lost about a sixth of its value in a single session. The reason is four lines into the cost statement: product revenue of $18.0m against product cost of revenues of $37...

PANW Stock: Revenue +34%, But Its Own Filing Says 16% - We Say SELL (Q4 FY2026) 03.09.2026

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Q4 FY2026 — The stock fell 9.3% the next session, from $362.09 to $328.48. Palo Alto beat every line of its own guidance, grew revenue 34.5% to $3.41bn, and guided fiscal 2027 above consensus on both revenue and earnings - and the shares still fell 9.3%. The reason sits in a table the company published three months earlier: on a pro forma basis, as though it had always ow...

Credo Stock: It Bought $1.25bn Mid-Quarter, Won’t Say What It Earns (CRDO Q1 FY2027) 03.09.2026

Credo Technology (CRDO) Q1 FY2027 — The stock fell 20.0% the next session, from $206.63 to $165.22. Revenue rose 9.6% sequentially and adjusted earnings beat. But the $1,251m DustPhotonics acquisition closed on 28 May, inside this quarter, and neither the release nor the Form 10-Q filed the next day discloses one dollar of the acquired revenue - Credo judged the acquisitions immaterial to its resu...

GTLB Stock: Shares Rose 10%, Gross Margin Fell A Sixth Time - GitLab Q2 FY2027 03.09.2026

GitLab (GTLB) Q2 FY2027 — Shares closed at $49.59 on September 2, up 9.98% on the print - but they opened at $55.20 and handed back more than half the move before the close, on 28.9M shares against a 5.4M daily norm. GitLab's revenue rose 21.3% to $286.3M and beat its own guide by $13.3M. Gross profit grew only 16.0%. Gross margin fell to 84.1% from 87.9% - the SIXTH consecutive quarterly decline,...

MongoDB Stock: Backlog +91%, But 70% Was Never Invoiced - We Say SELL (MDB Q2 FY2027) 03.09.2026

MongoDB (MDB) Q2 FY2027 — The stock fell 13.5% the next session, from $434.21 to $375.40. The contracted backlog nearly doubled to $1.52bn and the tape read that as visibility. The 10-Q says 70.5% of it has never been invoiced to anybody and converts at the customers' own discretion - and only 18% of first-half revenue was sitting on the balance sheet when the half began. THE CALL: SELL (3/5, MODE...

HealthEquity Stock: A Record Quarter - and a $3B Rate Lock. Why We Say HOLD (HQY Q2 FY2027) 02.09.2026

HealthEquity (HQY) Q2 FY2027 — The stock fell 10.6% the same day, from $104.42 to $93.39. Records on every line, guidance raised - and the filing shows the company has fixed the rate on $3.04bn of future HSA cash at 3.93%, a position now $91.5m underwater that Note 10 feeds back through custodial revenue. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$101.27 vs ~$97.00 today. KEY METRICS: - Re...

SAIC Stock: Pretax Profit Up 10%, Net Income Down 20% Q2 FY2027 02.09.2026

Science Applications International (SAIC) Q2 FY2027 — Shares gapped 11.5% on results day and touched a 52-week high of $142.66, then handed the whole move back to close at $128.22, up just 1.79% on 4.6x volume; one session later they sit at $126.78. SAIC's income before income taxes ROSE 10.2% to $119M. Its net income FELL 19.7% to $102M. The entire $36M gap is one line: the base quarter carried a...

Sasol Stock (SSL): HOLD Call - Best Year In Five, Written Down Again FY2026 02.09.2026

Sasol Limited (SSL) FY2026 — SSL closed at $12.45, +3.6% against the $12.02 prior close, on 1.99m shares - about 2.4x the prior session. The ADR has risen 79% in twelve months and is still 12.9% below the $14.29 it reached on 5 May. Secunda - the coal-to-liquids complex behind almost all of Sasol's profit - had its highest annual output in five years and beat guidance. Sasol wrote it down anyway:...

YEXT Stock: HOLD - The Beat Came From The Buyback Q2 FY2027 02.09.2026

Yext (YEXT) Q2 FY2027 — YEXT closed the reaction session at $6.53, -3.5% on 2.90m shares, 2.2x the prior session - a beat, sold. Adjusted diluted EPS went $0.12 to $0.21 against a $0.17 bar. Decomposed, 4.4 cents of the 8.1-cent rise is the smaller share count and only 3.8 cents is higher profit - so 54% of the growth came from the denominator, and the share-count effect is larger than the 4.0-cen...

MiniMed Stock (MMED): HOLD Call - $319M Owed On The Growth Q1 FY2027 02.09.2026

MiniMed Group (MMED) Q1 FY2027 — MMED closed the reaction session at $22.42, +10.7% - the highest close it has ever had, on 6.07m shares, 5.1x the twenty-day median and 21.7% of the entire public float. MiniMed Flex - the insulin pump behind a U.S. growth acceleration to 13.1% and a +10.7% session - was developed on $324m of funding from Blackstone Life Sciences. For the first two years after U.S....

NIO Stock: SELL Call - 24,193 More Cars And A Bigger Loss Q2 2026 02.09.2026

NIO Inc (NIO) Q2 2026 — NIO closed the reaction session at $4.06, -4.0% - the lowest close in twelve months, on 81m shares. It is 49.4% below its $7.89 high of 2 October 2025. NIO delivered 24,193 more vehicles in the June quarter than in the March quarter - a 29.0% jump, and 49.4% more than a year ago. Those extra cars brought RMB1,047m of incremental gross profit and cost RMB1,086m of incrementa...

SBSW Stock: BUY Call - All 4 Mines Dug Less And Sibanye Still Posted A Record H1 2026 02.09.2026

Sibanye Stillwater (SBSW) H1 2026 — SBSW went in at $11.85 and closed the reaction session at $11.66 (-1.6%) - a record half-year, and the tape shrugged. It is 44.8% below its January close of $21.12 and 45.8% above its July low of $8.00. Every one of Sibanye-Stillwater's four producing operations mined LESS metal in the six months to 30 June 2026 - SA PGM 4E -1.8%, SA gold -2.2%, US PGM 2E -2.3%,...

MDT Stock: Half of Medtronic’s 13.7% Growth Was an Extra Week | Q1 FY2027 01.09.2026

Medtronic plc (MDT) Q1 FY2027 — Shares closed $92.04, up 1.5%, after opening at $94.00 and giving most of the pop back. Fiscal 2027 is a 53-week year and the extra week landed in Q1. Medtronic's own footnote puts it at $570m - 49% of the entire organic revenue increase. Strip it out and organic growth is 7.0%, not 13.7%, which is below the bottom of the 7.25-7.75% full-year guide the company raise...

NCNO Stock: SELL Call - $176M Of Buybacks On $115M Of Cash Q2 FY2027 31.08.2026

nCino (NCNO) Q2 FY2027 — NCNO went into the print at $20.81, closed the reaction session at $21.51 (+3.4%) and $22.99 two sessions later - 10.5% up on the print, and 64% above its March low of $14.01. nCino grew revenue 8.2% to $161.0m and swung GAAP operating income to +$13.6m from -$9.3m. But in the same six months it spent $175.7m retiring its own stock against $114.8m of free cash flow - and t...

CMBT Stock: SELL Call - Record $364M Quarter, But The Net Debt Equals The Market Cap 31.08.2026

CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) Q2 2026 — The stock rose 3.6% on the print and closed the week at $18.35, a twelve-month high. CMB.TECH earned $364.4m in the June quarter - $1.26 a share against $0.04 a year earlier - on revenue of $703.9m, up 81.5%. We tested the obvious objection (that the profit was really vessel sales) and rejected it: disposals were 35% of profit, not the whole of it. Our problem is the p...

HEI Stock: SELL Call - Two Tickers, One Company, 35% Apart Q3 FY2026 31.08.2026

HEICO Corporation (HEI) Q3 FY2026 — HEI went into the print at $351.05 and closed at $336.53 three sessions later, -4.1%, having set a 12-month closing high of $374.67 on August 14. The non-voting Class A (HEI.A) closed at $250.06, -2.7% over the same three sessions. HEICO reported record net sales of $1,413.1m (+23.1%), record operating income of $355.2m (+34.0%) and record net income attributabl...

BOX Stock: HOLD Call - Revenue Guide Up, EPS Guide Down Q2 FY2027 31.08.2026

Box Inc (BOX) Q2 FY2027 — Shares closed the reaction session at $33.39, +1.2%, then ran to $34.98 by Friday - a 12-month closing high, and +63.7% off the April low of $21.37. Box raised full-year revenue guidance to $1.290bn and CUT full-year non-GAAP EPS guidance to $1.54 - below the $1.55 it started the year with. The entire cut is the share count, guided from 139m in May back up to 141m in Augu...

BILI Stock: HOLD Call - Server Book Tripled, Margin +10bp Q2 2026 31.08.2026

Bilibili (BILI) Q2 2026 — Shares rose +3.84% on the print to $16.77, on 3.0x the thirty session median volume - the 26th best session of the twelve months, not the first. One session later they sit at $16.60, +2.79% against the pre-print close, with 27% of the move handed back. The shares are -29% on the year and 54% under the January high. Bilibili reported Q2 2026 revenue of RMB7.94B, +8% year o...

XPEV Stock: SELL Call - Half The Gross Profit Was Not From Cars Q2 2026 31.08.2026

XPeng (XPEV) Q2 2026 — Shares gapped 3.0% BELOW the prior close, never traded back to it, and closed 7.1% under their own session high at $11.15, -8.53% on the day - a twelve month closing low on 4.1x the thirty session median volume. Four sessions later they sit at $11.53, -5.41% against the pre-print close. XPeng reported Q2 2026 revenue of $2,910M, +8.0% year on year, at a gross margin of 20.7%...

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