Colton Thomas
Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopedia
Charged Alpha reviews earnings for each stock in the Russel 1000 every quarter. Each podcast gives thorough analysis, along with an in-depth profile in the beginning of the episode of the company, what they do, how they earn money and what to look for.
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Autore
Colton Thomas
Categoria
Sito del podcast
Ultimo episodio
28 ott 2026
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Episodi
ConocoPhillips (COP): Earnings Up 128% - And The Oil Price That Did It Has Already Left 07.08.2026 14:50
ConocoPhillips (COP) Q2 2026 — Q2 2026 (quarter ended June 30, 2026): adjusted diluted EPS $3.24 vs a ~$2.89 bar (+12%), up 128% y/y; GAAP EPS $3.23. Revenue $19.5B (+32.4%). CFO $7.4B, capex $3.0B, FCF $4.4B. Production 2,248 MBOED, DOWN 6% y/y. Realized $62.33/BOE, +36%. The 8-K was accepted 7:23 a.m. ET on Aug 6, so the $116.76 close IS the reaction - and the stock rose only 1.5% on a day Brent...
Onto Innovation (ONTO): A Record Quarter - And We Sit 34% Below The Lowest Analyst Target 07.08.2026 14:30
Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) Q2 2026 — Q2 2026 (quarter ended June 30, 2026): revenue $343.1M, +35.3% y/y vs a $325.3M bar. Non-GAAP diluted EPS $1.93 vs $1.69 (+14.2%); GAAP diluted EPS $1.21 (+75%). Non-GAAP operating margin 30.0%. The May guide was $320-330M / $1.65-1.73 - the print cleared the HIGH END of all four metrics. The 8-K was accepted 4:09 p.m. ET on Aug 6, so the $268.70 close is the...
Williams (WMB): The $0.68 Headline Is 26% Air - And We Sit Below Every Analyst 07.08.2026 14:00
The Williams Companies, Inc. (WMB) Q2 2026 — Q2 2026 (quarter ended June 30, 2026): revenue $3,053M, +9.8% y/y vs a tracked $2,828M bar. GAAP diluted EPS $0.68 (+51%); ADJUSTED diluted EPS $0.50 (+8%) against a $0.52 Zacks bar - so the adjusted line was a small MISS. Adjusted EBITDA $1,921M (+6.2%). AFFO $1,450M (+10.1%). Leverage 3.67x. The 8-K landed 4:18 p.m. ET Monday Aug 3, so the $71.51 clos...
TTM Technologies (TTMI): A Record $1B Quarter - And Our Bull Case Is Only 19% Above 07.08.2026 13:20
TTM Technologies, Inc. (TTMI) Q2 2026 — Q2 2026 (quarter ended June 29, 2026): revenue $1,004.1M, +37.4% y/y - the first billion-dollar quarter in TTM's history, and $34M above the HIGH end of its own $930-970M guide. Non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.99 vs a ~$0.89 bar and its own $0.82-0.88 guide; GAAP diluted $0.77 after a $14.0M non-cash swap mark. Adjusted EBITDA $166.8M (16.6%). Book-to-bill 1.49. The...
EOG Resources (EOG): Beat Both Lines, Fell 6.5% - And Not One Barrel Is Hedged 07.08.2026 12:57
EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) Q2 2026 — Q2 2026 (quarter ended June 30, 2026): revenue $8,620M, +57% y/y and 7.1% above the $8,045M estimate. Adjusted diluted EPS $5.07 vs a $4.97 bar (GAAP diluted $5.15 - the adjustments REDUCE earnings by $0.08). Free cash flow $2,799M vs $973M a year ago. Production 1,410.4 MBoed, +24.4%, but crude only +8.8%. Realised US oil $98.18/Bbl vs $64.84. Buyback authorisa...
Texas Pacific Land (TPL): A Record Quarter That Fell 7% - And Our Bull Case Is The Price 07.08.2026 15:10
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Q2 2026 — Q2 2026 (quarter ended June 30, 2026): revenue $246.1M, +31.2% y/y but below the $249.5M estimate. GAAP diluted EPS $2.23 vs a $2.18 bar (TPL publishes no non-GAAP EPS). Record net income $153.9M, record free cash flow $155.5M. Realised oil $97.55/Bbl vs $70.57 in Q1 - but oil volumes fell 4.8%, gas realised $0.40/Mcf, water sales fell 18%, and produc...
ResMed (RMD): The Miss That Never Happened - And The One Number That Worries Us 07.08.2026 13:47
ResMed Inc. (RMD) Q4 FY2026 — Q4 FY2026 (quarter ended June 30, 2026): revenue $1,463.6M, +9% reported and +8% constant currency, just ahead of a $1,461.3M estimate. GAAP diluted EPS $2.64; NON-GAAP diluted EPS $2.95 vs a $2.89 non-GAAP bar - a 2% BEAT, not the 9% miss some outlets printed off the GAAP number. The 31-cent gap is $41.9M of Astral Class 1 recall expense. FY2026: revenue $5,653M +10%...
Solventum (SOLV): They Raised The Year By Less Than They Beat The Quarter 07.08.2026 15:16
Solventum Corporation (SOLV) Q2 2026 — Q2 2026 (quarter ended June 30, 2026): sales $2,209M, +2.2% reported and +9.5% organic, ~2.6% ahead of a $2,154M estimate. Adjusted diluted EPS $2.55 vs a $1.90 bar - a 34% BEAT. GAAP diluted EPS $0.53. Adjusted operating margin 28.4% vs 21.9%. Free cash flow $144M in the quarter but MINUS $129M for the first half. FY26 guidance RAISED to $7.10-$7.20 adjusted...
Symbotic (SYM): 90.5% Of Revenue Is One Customer 07.08.2026 13:09
Symbotic Inc. (SYM) Q3 FY2026 — Fiscal Q3 2026 (quarter ended June 27, 2026): revenue $720.8M, up 21.7% and ~0.8% ahead of a $715.0M estimate. Class A diluted EPS $0.09 against a $0.1311 consensus - a 31% MISS. Net income $55.0M vs a $21.2M loss, but $43.3M of it was allocated to noncontrolling interests and $19.4M was a non-cash gain on strategic investments. Adjusted EBITDA $95.2M, more than dou...
Microchip (MCHP): A Beat, A Big Raise - And Still A Third Below Its Peak 07.08.2026 14:12
Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) Q1 FY2027 — Fiscal Q1 2027 (the June quarter) net sales $1,484.7M, +38.0% YoY and +13.2% sequential, above the high end of guidance. Non-GAAP EPS $0.76 vs a $0.67-$0.71 guide; GAAP EPS $0.37. September guided UP 7-9% sequentially. AMC print, so the $74.36 close is PRE-print. Microchip beat the high end of its own guidance and raised September hard - and we...
Occidental (OXY): A 31% Beat - And It Was $11.54 Of Oil 07.08.2026 14:35
Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) Q2 2026 — Q2 adjusted EPS from continuing operations $2.40 vs a $1.83 bar - a 31.1% beat. GAAP reported EPS was HIGHER at $2.75, because items affecting comparability were a net GAIN of $368M after tax. Revenue $8,065M, up 53.4% and 14.0% above the $7,074M estimate. Free cash flow before working capital $3,021M, the highest since Q3 2022. Production 1,433 Mbo...
DraftKings (DKNG): Handle +15%, Revenue -5% - The $251M Hold-Rate Gap 07.08.2026 14:00
DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) Q2 2026 — Q2 revenue $1,443.2M, -4.6% YoY, vs a $1,512.0M consensus - a 4.5% MISS. Adjusted EPS $0.09 vs a $0.02 non-GAAP bar (a BEAT); GAAP EPS $(0.14). Adjusted EBITDA $114.6M, -61.9%. Sports Consumer Volume $13.14B, +14.5%. FY26 guidance REITERATED at $6.5-6.9B revenue and $700-900M adjusted EBITDA. AMC print, so the $22.17 close is PRE-print; the stock traded about 4% lo...
Monster Beverage (MNST): Sales +20.2% - But Every Case Sold For LESS 07.08.2026 14:59
Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) Q2 2026 — Net sales $2,537.5M, +20.2%, vs a ~$2.43B bar. Adjusted EPS $0.60 vs $0.58 (GAAP $0.59) - a beat on BOTH bases. Adjusted operating margin 29.5% vs 31.3%. Case volume +22.3%, FASTER than revenue. AMC print, so the $94.16 close is PRE-print. A 2-for-1 split lands after the close Aug 10. Monster beat, and we still rate it HOLD. The fact nobody put on scre...
Natera (NTRA): A 13.6% Revenue Beat - And That Is The Base Rate 07.08.2026 12:44
Natera, Inc. (NTRA) Q2 2026 — Q2 revenue $752.8M, +37.7% YoY, vs a $662.6M consensus - a 13.6% beat. GAAP EPS $(0.47) vs a $(0.51) bar. Gross margin 64.5%; operating margin -10.1% vs -20.2%. FY26 revenue guidance RAISED $100M at the midpoint to $2.85B-$2.91B. AMC print, so the $265.38 close is PRE-print; the stock traded near $308 after hours, about +16.3%. Natera posted an excellent quarter and w...
The Trade Desk (TTD): They Missed Their Own Floor - And Guided To A Decline 07.08.2026 8:56
The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) Q2 2026 — Q2 revenue $715.1M, +3.0% YoY, vs a $752.6M consensus - and 4.7% BELOW the 'at least $750M' floor management guided in May. Non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.34 vs a $0.40 bar (-15%); GAAP diluted EPS $0.14 vs $0.18. Adjusted EBITDA $241.3M, a 33.7% margin against 39.0%. Q3 guidance: revenue 'at least $650M' vs $805M consensus - and vs $739.4M in Q3 2025, so -12.1% YoY,...
Airbnb (ABNB): The 12-Cent Beat Was $77M Of Last Year’s Tax 06.08.2026 14:00
Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) Q2 2026 — Q2 revenue $3,608M, +16.5% (+13% ex-FX), vs a $3,580M consensus - and $8M above the TOP of Airbnb's own May guide of $3.54-$3.60B. GAAP diluted EPS $1.37 vs a $1.25 bar. But 10-Q Note 10 discloses a $77M discrete tax benefit tied to published guidance on PRIOR-year taxes: that is $0.129 a share, so ex-item EPS is $1.24 - a one-cent MISS. Adjusted EBITDA $1,261M (35.0%...
Duke Energy (DUK): A 10% Beat - And The Stock Moved One Cent 06.08.2026 14:12
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) Q2 2026 — Q2 adjusted EPS $1.43 vs a $1.30 bar - a 10.0% beat - and up 14.4% YoY. GAAP reported EPS $1.38; the bridge is one $0.05 item ($39M after tax) of North Carolina rate-case settlement charges. Revenue $7,592M, up 1.1%, $67M below the $7,659M estimate - but the shortfall is the gas line (Piedmont Tennessee sale plus a cheaper pass-through commodity). FY2026 adj...
Figma (FIG): A Beat, A Raise - And The Stock Fell 15% 06.08.2026 14:37
Figma, Inc. (FIG) Q2 2026 — Q2 revenue $370.1M, up 48.2% YoY and above the top of the $348-350M guide. Non-GAAP EPS $0.08 vs a ~$0.04 bar - but GAAP EPS was MINUS $0.21 (a $112.2M net loss) after $147.6M of stock compensation, 39.9% of revenue. Net dollar retention 136%. Full-year revenue guidance RAISED $40M to $1.463-1.467B. Q3 guided to $373-375M, +36% YoY but only +1.1% sequentially. Stock -14...
SiTime (SITM): Revenue +127%, Stock +27% - And We Still Say HOLD 06.08.2026 14:00
SiTime Corporation (SITM) Q2 2026 — Q2 revenue $157.4M vs $146.5M est, up 127% YoY and 38.6% sequentially - above the top of the $140-150M guide. Non-GAAP EPS $2.34 vs a $1.95 bar and a $1.85-$2.00 guide. Non-GAAP gross margin 67.1%, operating margin 34.0%. GAAP net income $18.2M ($0.66 diluted) - the largest in company history. Q3 guided to $285-295M and $3.50-$3.65. Stock +26.58% to $687.50. The...
Etsy (ETSY): A $1.11 Earnings Miss That Never Happened - And A $2B Buyback 06.08.2026 13:13
Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) Q2 2026 — Q2 GAAP diluted EPS $(0.36) vs a ~$0.75 bar - while revenue BEAT at $668.3M vs $646.1M est. Continuing-operations diluted EPS was $0.98, a 31% beat. The entire gap is Depop, sold to eBay on July 30 and booked as a discontinued operation: $(161.0)M, or $(1.34) a diluted share. GMS $2.6B +7.5%, take rate 25.9%, adjusted EBITDA $195.4M at a 29.2% margin. FY26 margin guidan...
Talen Energy (TLN): The $5.21 Miss That Never Happened. And A Guidance Raise. 06.08.2026 12:44
Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) Q2 2026 — Q2 GAAP EPS $(2.00) vs a $3.21 bar; revenue $747M vs $832.8M est - but revenue INCLUDES a $(212)M non-cash derivative mark. Ex-mark revenue $959M, a 15% BEAT. Adjusted EBITDA $374M vs $90M LY; Adjusted FCF $212M vs $(78)M. 2026 guidance RAISED to $2,025-$2,225M EBITDA and $1,200-$1,350M FCF. Stock +2.6% to $338.31 on the print, 24% off its October high. Tal...
Pfizer (PFE): The Beat Was A Decline. And $3.8 Billion Of Pipeline Went To Zero. 06.08.2026 14:16
Pfizer Inc. (PFE) Q2 2026 — Q2 revenue $15,034M UP 3% reported but just 1% operationally, against a $14.55B Street bar. Adjusted EPS $0.77 beat a $0.68 consensus by 13% - and came in BELOW the $0.78 earned a year earlier. GAAP was a LOSS of $(0.04) on $4.3B of intangible impairments. FY26 revenue guidance raised $500M at the midpoint to $60.5-$62.5B; adjusted EPS guidance REAFFIRMED at $2.80-$3.00...
Fox (FOXA): The Best Year It Ever Printed. The Market Only Sees The Roku Deal. 06.08.2026 14:00
Fox Corporation (FOXA) Q4 FY2026 — Q4 revenue $4,212M UP 28% vs a $3,643M Street bar. Advertising $1,916M UP 78% on the FIFA Men's World Cup. Adjusted EBITDA $1,195M UP 27%. Adjusted EPS $1.79 vs $1.44. Full year: record revenue $17,126M and record adjusted EBITDA $3,906M. Stock +5.1% to $61.67 - still 19% below its January high. Fox closed fiscal 2026 with record revenue of $17.13B and record adj...
MACOM (MTSI): The Print Beat By Five Cents. The Guide Beat By Fifty-One. 06.08.2026 14:16
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) Q3 FY2026 — Revenue $342.2M UP 35.8% and UP 18.4% sequentially - above the Street AND above MACOM's own $331-339M guide. Adjusted EPS $1.40 vs $1.35. Adjusted gross margin 59.7%, adjusted operating margin 31.5%. Then the guide: fiscal Q4 revenue $415-425M vs a $364.1M consensus and adjusted EPS $1.97-$2.03 vs $1.49. Stock +11.0% to $292.54. MACOM be...
Insmed (INSM): The Revenue Beat Is Real. The Earnings Beat Is The Share Price. 06.08.2026 13:13
Insmed Incorporated (INSM) Q2 2026 — Revenue $425.5M UP 296% vs a ~$393M bar. BRINSUPRI $309.2M in launch quarter four, UP 49% sequentially. GAAP EPS -$0.06 vs a -$0.69 bar - but 88% of that result is a $99.8M NON-CASH gain on an earnout settled in Insmed's own shares. Ex-mark EPS is -$0.52, a 17-cent beat. FY26 BRINSUPRI guidance RAISED to $1.25-$1.40B from 'at least $1B'. Stock +32.0% to $130.73...
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