Colton Thomas

Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopedia

Charged Alpha reviews earnings for each stock in the Russel 1000 every quarter. Each podcast gives thorough analysis, along with an in-depth profile in the beginning of the episode of the company, what they do, how they earn money and what to look for.

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Szerző

Colton Thomas

Kategória

Business

A podcast weboldala

chargedalpha.podbean.com

Legutóbbi epizód

2026. okt. 26.

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Epizódok

PEP Stock: The Refund Behind the Profit Growth — Q3 2026 08.10.2026

PepsiCo (PEP) Q3 2026 — The retained intraday quote was $126.43; the earnings-day close was not yet available. A $178 million tariff refund exceeded the $140 million increase in core operating profit, while PepsiCo reduced its core earnings outlook. International strength and the dividend help, but domestic profit conversion remains the test. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — Fair value ~$135 vs ~$...

APLD Stock: The Rent Is Real. The Equity Math Is Harder — Q1 FY2027 08.10.2026

Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) Q1 FY2027 — Shares rose about 4.24% since the print to $24.82 in the retained after-hours snapshot; this is not a completed next-day reaction. Applied Digital is collecting meaningful HPC base rent, but tenant fit-out makes up much of the revenue headline. We separate property economics from construction funding, preferred claims and dilution to see what can reac...

PENG Stock: The AI Growth Test Is Now Cash — Q4 FY2026 06.10.2026

Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG) Q4 FY2026 — The reference close is $64.21; exact release timing is unconfirmed, so this is not labeled a post-earnings reaction. Penguin Solutions beat expectations and raised its fiscal 2027 outlook. Memory supplied most of the sales increase while working capital absorbed cash. We examine the operating bridge, financing dilution and cash assumptions behind common-s...

STZ Stock: More Beer Shipped, But Who Is Buying? — Q2 FY2027 06.10.2026

Constellation Brands (STZ) Q2 FY2027 — Reference price $115.91 is the October 6 pre-release quote at 3:59:59 p.m. Eastern; no completed post-print session is asserted. Beer shipments rose 5.5% while depletions fell 0.6%. Comparable profit dollars were flat, even as a smaller share count lifted EPS. We test whether the sales rebound can become a durable demand recovery. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERAT...

TMQ Stock: A Profit Without Copper — Q3 FY2026 02.10.2026

Trilogy Metals Inc. (TMQ) Q3 FY2026 — Saved October 2 intraday reference: $3.165; this is not the completed earnings-session return. Trilogy Metals reported a small profit without producing copper. A derivative gain drove the bottom line, while the closed government investment funds the next work program rather than the mine build. THE CALL: SELL (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$2.09 vs ~$3.165...

NKE Stock: Nike’s Reset Has a Cash Bill — Q1 FY2027 01.10.2026

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) Q1 FY2027 — The saved $32.78 after-hours reference was 6.74% below the $35.15 regular-session close. The next-session closing reaction remains pending. THE CALL: SELL (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$25.00 vs ~$32.78 at the saved October 1, 2026 after-hours reference. KEY METRICS: - Q1 revenue $11.213B; gross margin 42.8%; diluted EPS $0.48 - FY2027 adjusted EPS guide $1.15–$1....

ACN Stock: Earnings Surged, but Its Cash Cushion Shrunk — Q4 FY2026 01.10.2026

Accenture plc (ACN) Q4 FY2026 — The valuation uses a saved $214.50 October 1 premarket observation. The September 30 completed close was $183.37; no October 1 closing reaction is claimed. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$250.00 vs ~$214.50 at the saved October 1, 2026 premarket reference. KEY METRICS: - Q4 revenue $18.679B; diluted EPS $3.29, up 46% GAAP or 9% against adjusted pr...

JBL Stock: Earnings Surge, Cash Faces a Funding Test — Q4 FY2026 30.09.2026

Jabil Inc. (JBL) Q4 FY2026 — The valuation reference is the September 29 pre-print close of $318.84; this is not a post-release trading price. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$300.00 vs ~$318.84 at the September 29, 2026 pre-print close. KEY METRICS: - Q4 revenue $10.616B, up 28.6%; core EPS $4.40, up 33.7%; GAAP EPS $3.76 - FY2026 OCF $2.002B; operating asset cash use $7.846B of...

CAG Stock: Earnings Rose, but the Food Business Earned Less — Q1 FY2027 30.09.2026

Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) Q1 FY2027 — Reference price $14.12 is the September 29 quote before the release; a post-print reaction is not established in the saved data. Adjusted EPS rose 5.1%, while adjusted operating profit fell 4.1%. Joint-venture income and expense benefits supported the headline; cash coverage decides whether the recovery can fund the dividend and debt. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MOD...

CALM Stock: Better Egg Mix, Weaker Profits — Q1 FY2027 30.09.2026

Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. (CALM) Q1 FY2027 — The $68.55 reference is the September 29 pre-release close; no post-release price reaction is asserted. Cal-Maine's specialty and prepared-food businesses reached 54.1% of external sales, but all three reportable segments earned less. Conventional egg prices fell sharply, free cash flow turned negative, and the dividend remains behind a cumulative-loss reco...

UEC Stock: $753M in Liquid Assets—Who Paid for It? FY2026 29.09.2026

Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) FY2026 — Saved intraday reference $9.045; no completed current-day earnings reaction asserted. Uranium Energy reported $753M of liquid assets, but unrestricted cash was $495M and shareholders supplied $530M of net financing. Mine costs improved. We trace what the cash can fund, what conversion still needs, and the assumptions required to justify the valuation. THE CALL:...

KMX Stock: CarMax Volume Recovery Faces a Credit Test | Q2 FY2027 29.09.2026

CarMax, Inc. (KMX) Q2 FY2027 — Saved intraday reference $59.10 at 15:36 UTC; the current earnings-day close is not yet known. CarMax sold more cars and spread overhead across more transactions. Lower provisions, a loan-sale gain and investment income also helped profits. We separate repeatable operating progress from those contributions before valuing the recovery. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) —...

IDT Stock: Record Profits, Where Is the Cash? — Q4 FY2026 29.09.2026

IDT Corporation (IDT) Q4 FY2026 — Saved regular-session reference $69.61; exact release clock unverified, so no earnings reaction is asserted. Record operating results meet a cash-conversion test. IDT guides to higher FY2027 gross profit and adjusted EBITDA, but settlement funding absorbed cash as its growth businesses expanded. We trace the earnings, customer deposits and subsidiary ownership bef...

MTN Stock: The $114M Cash Gap Behind Vail’s Dividend — Q4 FY2026 28.09.2026

Vail Resorts (MTN) Q4 FY2026 — Saved regular-session reference $138.07; no post-release reaction asserted. Vail generated $248M of free cash flow while paying $317M in dividends and $45M in buybacks. Advance pass dollars are down 6%. Can the guided recovery close the shareholder cash gap? THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$125.00 vs ~$138.07 at the saved regular-session reference....

RZLT Stock: Seven Early Responses, Two Unresolved Paths — Q4 FY2026 25.09.2026

Rezolute, Inc. (RZLT) Q4 FY2026 — RZLT closed at $3.94 on September 24, down 1.5% for the reporting day. The midday release means this is not an isolated earnings reaction. Seven of the initial eight upLIFT tumor-study participants met the response threshold, but the trial remains incomplete. The congenital sunRIZE study failed its primary and key secondary endpoints, and FDA review has no stated...

UXIN Stock: Volume Nearly Doubled, Gross Margin Turned Negative — Q2 2026 25.09.2026

Uxin Limited (UXIN) Q2 2026 — UXIN closed September 24 at $1.30, up 19.3% from $1.09, on 16.08 million ADSs traded; the regular-session range was $1.1707 to $1.41. Uxin nearly doubled retail vehicle volume, but inventory-price pressure drove gross margin to negative 0.7%. The next print must prove that the reset restored vehicle economics while financing and dilution remain central to common-equit...

COST Stock: A 12% Clean EPS Gain Meets an 18.5% Hurdle — Q4 FY2026 25.09.2026

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) Q4 FY2026 — An early after-hours trade was $897.02 at 16:29 ET on September 24, about 0.06% above the $896.48 regular close; this was not a completed post-print session. Costco delivered 12.4% normalized EPS growth after removing a $0.15 non-recurring tariff-refund benefit. The business remains exceptional, but the early price requires roughly 18.5% annual owner...

SNX Stock: Record Profit, a $976 Million Cash Outflow — Q3 FY2026 24.09.2026

TD SYNNEX Corporation (SNX) Q3 FY2026 — A thin pre-market trade was $256.60 at 08:31 ET on September 24, about 10.9% below the $287.89 prior close; the nearby bid/ask spread was wide. TD SYNNEX reported record operating profit, but quarterly free cash flow was negative $975.6 million. Inventory and receivables are consuming capital, making cash conversion the test of the stronger earnings engine....

GIS Stock: Flat Sales Hide a $99M Profit Gap — Q1 FY2027 23.09.2026

General Mills (GIS) Q1 FY2027 — Saved September 23 intraday quote $35.74, +0.82% from prior close; the session was not complete. Flat organic sales hide a $99M segment-profit decline in Retail and Pet. International and Foodservice offset only $18.3M. Can stabilization become profitable growth? THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$37.00 vs ~$35.74 today. KEY METRICS: - Revenue $4,389...

PAYX Stock: The Dividend Outran Cash — What Recovers Next? Q1 FY2027 23.09.2026

Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) Q1 FY2027 — The saved September 23 intraday quote was $105.81, down 7.61% from the prior close; the session had not yet closed. Paychex paid more in dividends than quarterly free cash flow, even as margins improved. Three cash-flow lines explain most of the decline, and trailing cash still covers the payout. The question is what recovers after integration costs and debt servic...

MANU Stock: Champions League Returns. Where Is the Cash? — Q4 FY2026 23.09.2026

Manchester United (MANU) Q4 FY2026 — Reference $20.51 is the September 22 close, before this print; post-print reaction unavailable. Champions League participation lifts Manchester United’s revenue outlook, but guided EBITDA is roughly flat. Player investment, higher net debt and stadium funding keep the shareholder cash question open. THE CALL: SELL (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$13.50 vs ~$...

KBH Stock: Backlog Grew, Demand Slowed — Q3 FY2026 22.09.2026

KB Home (KBH) Q3 FY2026 — Reference price $48.59 from the saved September 22 quote; a post-print reaction is not verified. Backlog grew, but demand per community weakened. KB Home’s sequential margin recovery meets rising net debt and a book value dominated by inventory. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$50.00 vs ~$48.59 today. KEY METRICS: - Revenue $1,297.101M, down 19.96% YoY -...

AZO Stock: The Margin Rebound Has a Refund Inside — Q4 FY2026 22.09.2026

AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) Q4 FY2026 — The reference is the September 21 close of $2,803.25, before this earnings release; no verified post-print move is asserted. AutoZone’s gross margin rebounded, but tariff refunds and the comparative LIFO benefit explain more than the entire improvement. Commercial growth remains strong while inventory and investment absorb cash. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — bas...

THO Stock: A $100M Savings Promise Meets a Cash-Flow Reset — Q4 FY2026 22.09.2026

THOR Industries (THO) Q4 FY2026 — The valuation uses the September 21 pre-print close of $69.94; no post-print reaction is asserted. THOR promises over $100M of annual earnings improvement once its initiatives are fully implemented. Meanwhile, FY2026 free cash flow fell to $168.8M and dividends plus buybacks ran ahead of it. Can the savings become cash without a retail rebound? THE CALL: HOLD (3/5...

ANAB Stock: $5.11 EPS Is the Wrong Headline — AnaptysBio Q2 2026 21.09.2026

AnaptysBio, Inc. (ANAB) Q2 2026 — September 21 close $54.99, down 0.39%; the release-session label is unverified, so this is not necessarily a clean post-print reaction baseline. Anaptys reported $5.11 of Q2 diluted EPS, but a $181.491M tax benefit drove the profit. The real value remains the post-Sagard Jemperli royalty stream, under an agreement now in unresolved litigation. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5,...

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