Prediction Market Movers

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlacher sits down with Damon Thayer, the Political Director of Prediction News, to break down the results from this week’s off-year elections in New York, New Jersey and Virginia. Chris and Damon analyze what the outcomes mean for 2025 and 2026, why Zohran Mamdani’s New York could reshape Democratic politics, and how the primaries are becoming e...

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Jeremiah Johnson, Co-Founder of the New Center of Liberalism. Jeremiah shares how he got involved in prediction markets, his concerns about their role in politics, and how prediction data could reshape political discourse.   Chris and Jeremiah dive into the New York Mayoral race, explore what could happen if Zohran Ma...

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with @PredMTrader, a leading content creator in the prediction market space. The two dive into PMT’s journey into prediction markets, the thrill of live trading, and how to find an edge in competitive prediction markets. Chris and PMT also explore the New York Mayoral race, discuss tips for young traders, and break down th...

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Joel Simkins, CEO and founder of XST Capital Group, for an in-depth conversation about the future of prediction markets and what could be one of the biggest shakeups in the space — the potential sale of Novig, one of the fastest-growing prediction market platforms. Chris and Joel break down: 💡 The business and regula...

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Damon Thayer, Director of Politics at Prediction News and former Kentucky Senator, to explore the connection between sports betting, politics, and prediction markets. Thayer takes listeners inside Kentucky’s journey to legalizing sportsbooks, discussing the behind-the-scenes process, economic impact, and what the stat...

On this edition of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlacher sits down with online prediction market entertainer and Manifest 2025’s “Best Debtor”, Tumbles (@32Tumbles). Tumbles opens up about his wild journey on the Manifold trading platform, the types of markets he trades, and how things took a surprising turn leading to his infamous Manifest award. Chris and Tumbles dive deep into life as a pre...

In this episode of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlacher welcomes Fifty-One Alpha founder Aggie (@BlondiePredicts), often called the queen of prediction markets. Aggie opens up about her background in tennis, her transition into finance, and how she developed her passion for prediction markets. 00:00 - Intro 1:00 - Aggies past life as a tennis player 3:15 - Transitioning into the business worl...

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Noah Sternig, former head at Kalshiand long-time prediction market enthusiast. Noah shares his insider journey into Kalshi, how he pushed the limits of what prediction markets can be, and his perspective on defining insider trading in the industry. The conversation also dives into the future of prediction markets, reg...

Welcome to Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher is joined by Sporttrade founder Alex Kane, an expert in sports wagering and the regulatory environment with legal betting. The two discuss Kane's background, why he started Sporttrade, his letter to the CFTC, concerns with the current landscape and more! 👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal e...

Join host Chris Gerlacher as he kicks off Prediction Market Movers, the podcast covering the latest in prediction market news, trading strategies, and legal updates. Each week, Chris talks with top traders, industry insiders, and everything around prediction markets. 👉 Subscribe now to stay updated on everything happening in the prediction market industry.