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Colton Thomas

Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopedia

Charged Alpha reviews earnings for each stock in the Russel 1000 every quarter. Each podcast gives thorough analysis, along with an in-depth profile in the beginning of the episode of the company, what they do, how they earn money and what to look for.

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Auteur

Colton Thomas

Catégorie

Business

Site du podcast

chargedalpha.podbean.com

Dernier épisode

10 juil. 2026

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Épisodes

PLAB Stock: HOLD Call - Stock Crashes 36% On Soft Print Q2 FY2026 29.05.2026

Photronics Q2 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $34.02 -> HOLD - BUY below $28.00 with $22.00 stop - AVOID above $46.00 TRIGGER: Two consecutive quarters of revenue stabilization AND gross margin back above 33%, OR an FPD/China display capex recovery WINDOW...

HRL Stock: HOLD Call - Profit Fell, Stock Jumped 12.5% Q2 FY2026 29.05.2026

Hormel Foods Q2 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $23.59 - HOLD - BUY below $21.00 with $18.50 stop - AVOID above $28.00 TRIGGER: A pullback under $21 (roughly 14x forward) OR a Q3 print that confirms cost pressure is easing and the upper-half EPS path is inta...

REX Stock: BUY Call - EPS Doubles YoY as Crush Spread Recovers Q1 FY2026 29.05.2026

REX American Resources Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $48.26 - BUY - BUY below $46.00 with $38.00 stop - AVOID above $60.00 TRIGGER: 2nd straight double-digit op-margin quarter OR funded CCS credit WINDOW: Through Q3 FY2026 earnings (early Dec 2026) TRACK...

NTAP Stock: HOLD Call - Record Quarter But Priced For Perfection Q4 FY2026 29.05.2026

NetApp Q4 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $142.40 -> HOLD - BUY below $115.00 with $95.00 stop - AVOID above $165.00 TRIGGER: A pullback to $115 with FY2027 guide intact would turn this into a BUY WINDOW: 6-12 months - valuation needs the earnings to grow...

XPEV Stock: HOLD Call - Gross Margin Climbs to 20.6% Q1 2026 29.05.2026

XPeng Inc. Q1 2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. China's smart-EV turnaround: deliveries fell a third, but gross margin actually climbed. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $16.44 -> same - BUY below $14.00 with $12.00 stop - AVOID above $24.00 TRIGGER: Watch for Q2 deliveries to land inside th...

FUTU Stock: HOLD Call - Stock Rebounds +17% After $271M Fine Q1 2026 28.05.2026

Futu Holdings Q1 2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $104.91 - HOLD - BUY below $90.00 with $75.00 stop - AVOID above $140.00 TRIGGER: A clean resolution of the CSRC matter with no further fines, plus Q2 confirming paying-client growth and client assets holding th...

DOO Stock: HOLD Call - EPS Crushed It But Guide Cut 45% Q1 FY2027 28.05.2026

BRP Inc (DOO) Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - a conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. All financial figures in CAD; share price in USD (NASDAQ). THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $58.57 USD -> HOLD - BUY below $50.00 with $44.00 stop - AVOID above $72.00 TRIGGER: North American retail turns positive AND tariff guide stabil...

ATS Stock: HOLD Call - Bookings Fell 18% Q4 FY2026 28.05.2026

ATS Stock: HOLD Call - Bookings Fell 18% Q4 FY2026 ATS Corporation Q4 FY2026 Charged Alpha Pipeline X deep dive. Record revenue, but a softening order book. Q4 revenue C$744M (+3.2% YoY), adjusted EPS C$0.36, adjusted earnings-from-operations margin 10.3%. Order bookings C$704M fell 18.4% YoY; order backlog C$1.96B down 8.5%; trailing book-to-bill 0.99. Full-year net income swung positive after a...

ICLR Stock: BUY Call - Accounting Cloud Lifts +17% Q1 2026 28.05.2026

ICLR Stock: BUY Call - Accounting Cloud Lifts +17% Q1 2026 ICON plc (NASDAQ: ICLR), one of the world's two largest clinical-research organizations, jumped roughly +17% as its accounting investigation finally cleared. Revenue came in at $2,112.5M (+3.5% YoY), beating the ~$1.99B Street estimate, while adjusted EPS of $2.52 missed the ~$3.12 consensus on margin compression. The decisive catalyst: th...

ICLR Stock: BUY Call - Op Margin +1400 Bps to 13% Q1 FY2027 28.05.2026

ICON plc Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $136.80 -> BUY - BUY below $130.00 with $95.00 stop - AVOID above $190.00 TRIGGER: Q2 print confirming book-to-bill holding above 1.2x AND operating margin stabilizing or expanding off the 12% base WINDOW: 12-18 mo...

LI Stock: HOLD Call - Gross Margin Crashes to 7.9% Q1 2026 28.05.2026

Li Auto Inc. Q1 2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. China's former EV profit champion just swung to a loss. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $15.54 -> same - BUY below $13.00 with $11.00 stop - AVOID above $22.00 TRIGGER: Watch for gross margin to climb back toward the low-to-mid teens over th...

GAP Stock: HOLD Call - Beat EPS, Cut Sales Guide, Rose 4% Q1 FY2026 28.05.2026

Gap Inc Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $25.01 -> HOLD - BUY below $21.00 with $17.00 stop - AVOID above $31.00 TRIGGER: A pullback under $21 (sub-9x forward) OR a Q2 comp re-acceleration with the sales outlook restored to plus 2-3 percent WINDOW: Thro...

OKTA Stock: BUY Call - 25% Margin + 35% FCF Q1 FY2027 28.05.2026

OKTA Stock: BUY Call - 25% Margin + 35% FCF Q1 FY2027 Okta delivered a clean beat: total revenue $765M (+11% YoY), non-GAAP EPS $0.91 vs $0.85 Street (+7%), with a 25% non-GAAP operating margin and a 35% free cash flow margin. Current RPO grew 12% YoY to $2.50B, GAAP EPS turned positive at $0.42, and buybacks pushed diluted share count lower year over year. The full-year FY27 guide was reiterated...

MDB Stock: BUY Call - Atlas Re-Accelerates +22% Q1 FY2027 28.05.2026

MDB Stock: BUY Call - Atlas Re-Accelerates +22% Q1 FY2027 MongoDB delivered a clean beat-and-raise: total revenue $687.6M (+25% YoY), beating the Street, with Atlas revenue up more than 29% YoY (now ~77% of total). Non-GAAP EPS came in at $1.32 vs $1.18 Street (+11.9%). Free cash flow nearly doubled YoY to $197.5M, RPO jumped 88% to $1.46B, and customers above $100K ARR reached 2,895. Management r...

ADSK Stock: BUY Call - Beat & Raise But Fell 4% AH Q1 FY2027 28.05.2026

ADSK Stock: BUY Call - Beat & Raise But Fell 4% AH Q1 FY2027 Autodesk delivered a clean beat-and-raise after the close: revenue $1.93B (+18% YoY, +2.1% beat), non-GAAP EPS $2.99 vs $2.84 Street (+5.3%), GAAP operating margin 28% (+730bps YoY), and free cash flow $876M (+58% YoY). Total billings grew 18% and management RAISED full-year FY27 guidance across revenue, EPS and FCF. Yet the stock fe...

DELL Stock: BUY Call - $51.3B AI Server Backlog Q1 FY2027 28.05.2026

Dell Technologies Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $317.05 -> BUY - BUY below $300.00 with $250.00 stop - AVOID above $420.00 TRIGGER: Q2 print confirms $44.5B guide AND AI server backlog holds above $50B WINDOW: 12-18 months - AI server backlog conversion...

BBY Stock: HOLD Call - Comps Turned Positive, Stock Jumped 16% Q1 FY2026 28.05.2026

Best Buy Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $74.74 -> HOLD - BUY below $65.00 with $55.00 stop - AVOID above $85.00 TRIGGER: A pullback under $65 OR a Q2 comp print above the roughly plus 1 percent guide that confirms the plus 2 percent Q1 was the start o...

SQM Stock: BUY Call - EPS +167% as Lithium Recovers Q1 2026 28.05.2026

SQM Stock: BUY Call - EPS +167% as Lithium Recovers Q1 2026 SQM (Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile) Q1 2026 Charged Alpha Pipeline X deep dive - the lithium-price recovery. Revenue $1.76B beat by 3.9% and up 69.8% YoY. EPS $1.28 missed the $1.65 Street estimate by 22% but jumped 166.7% YoY from $0.48. Gross margin recovered to 44.2% from 29.4% a year ago; operating margin 41.5%. Lithium volume ~6...

COST Stock: HOLD Call - 51x Earnings After 6-Cent Miss Q3 FY2026 28.05.2026

Costco Wholesale Q3 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $1000.69 -> HOLD - BUY below $870.00 with $820.00 stop - AVOID above $1100.00 TRIGGER: A membership fee increase announcement OR the stock derating toward 40x forward earnings WINDOW: 12-18 months - mult...

DLTR Stock: BUY Call - Comps +3.5% Guide Raised +18% Pop Q1 FY2026 28.05.2026

Dollar Tree Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $112.85 -> BUY - BUY below $110.00 with $92.00 stop - AVOID above $140.00 TRIGGER: Q2 FY26 print confirming comps hold at 3 percent or better and gross margin sustains the 120bp expansion WINDOW: 12-18 months as...

BURL Stock: HOLD Call - Beat Everything, Stock Fell 7.5% Q1 FY2026 28.05.2026

Burlington Stores Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $301.40 -> HOLD - BUY below $270.00 with $235.00 stop - AVOID above $345.00 TRIGGER: A pullback under $270 (roughly 22x forward) OR a Q2 comp print above the +1-3% guide that confirms the +6% Q1 was not...

HPQ Stock: HOLD Call - Triple Beat +4.4% Q2 FY2026 28.05.2026

HP Inc Q2 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $25.49 - HOLD - BUY below $22.00 with $18.00 stop - AVOID above $28.00 TRIGGER: Q3 FY26 print confirming $14.4B revenue AND Personal Systems op margin above 5.5% WINDOW: 9-12 months PC refresh cycle ramp TRACKER: cha...

SNOW Stock: BUY Call - Blowout +37% AH AI Inflection Q1 FY2027 28.05.2026

Snowflake Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $175.26 - BUY - BUY below $168.00 with $180.00 stop - AVOID above $280.00 TRIGGER: Q2 FY27 print confirming $1.42B guide AND non-GAAP op margin step up toward 13.5% FY27 target WINDOW: 12-18 months - AI workload mone...

NCNO Stock: BUY Call - Op Margin +1400 Bps to 13% Q1 FY2027 28.05.2026

nCino, Inc. Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $15.19 -> BUY - BUY below $14.50 with $13.00 stop - AVOID above $22.00 TRIGGER: Q2 FY27 print confirms $158.75M guide AND non-GAAP op margin holds above 25 percent WINDOW: 12-18 months - FY27 op margin expansion...

UHAL Stock: HOLD Call - FY26 EPS -74% Annual Report Q4 FY2026 28.05.2026

UHAL Stock: HOLD Call - FY26 EPS -74% Annual Report Q4 FY2026 U-Haul Q4 FY2026 Charged Alpha Pipeline X deep dive. Annual report tonight, the housing-churn tell. Revenue $1.272B missed by $38M (+3.1% YoY). Diluted EPS -$0.70 beat by $0.02 (-52% YoY). Full-year FY26 EPS collapsed to $0.44 from $1.69 in FY25 (-74% YoY). Operating margin trough -13.2%. Self-Storage compounds steadily while Self-Movin...

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