Schwab Network

Brian Jacobsen wants to see the ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ actually start improving the economy. He discusses how tariffs have been impacting earnings and the “drip-feed” of inflation consumers are facing. “The typical moat that you look for businesses to have” is even more valuable right now, Brian argues, allowing companies more bargaining power with suppliers and a greater ability to absorb costs. He...

“We’ve been predicting all year that we’d have two or three cuts,” Jay Hatfield says, calling for three before the end of 2025 to bring rates towards the “neutral” 3%. “We need to cut, the economy’s weakening,” he says, but blames the Fed’s tightness over tariffs. Jay discusses potential new Fed Chairs and who he would like to see take the seat. He also gives some of his stock picks, including Che...

Tesla (TSLA) will face several headwinds in the coming months, says Karl Brauer. He says the company needs to pivot on focus for future products. That includes autonomous driving through robotaxi, though Karl says FSD innovation is still "years away" from profitability. He adds that Tesla's core business in EV sales will continue to decline and sees the $1 trillion proposed pay package for CEO Elo...

Phillip Securities issued a downgrade for Alphabet (GOOGL) even as it sees positive outcomes from not having to divest Google Chrome. However, a valuation spike prompted concern from the analyst. Marley Kayden offers a closer look at the analyst note to further explain what's driving the commentary. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscr...

Oracle (ORCL) received price target hikes from Barclays, Morgan Stanley, and JPMorgan ahead of Tuesday's earnings. Sam Vadas notes bullish takes from the firms in A.I. infrastructure buildout, though it doesn't come without concerns regarding Oracle's current valuation. She also notes Apple's (AAPL) product launch Tuesday that is expected to focus primarily on hardware, including the iPhone 17. Sa...

Kevin Hincks says we're moving into what he calls a "quiet week" for the FOMC, which makes this week's economic data more important. He highlights the CPI and PPI to discuss parts of the prints investors will want to focus on. On the Fed, Kevin notes momentum moving in favor of an interest rate cut cycle. Barclays upped its expectations on cuts in 2025 and 2026. ======== Schwab Network ======== Em...

Will Tamplin is watching the slope of the 20-day moving average on the SPX, and explains the market moves that would increase “downside risk.” He would reduce “higher beta” positions like Microsoft (MSFT) and Nvidia (NVDA) and increase fixed income holdings in anticipation of a normal September pullback. In general, he is looking for a reaction that does “something positive or negative to the tech...

Citi cut its price target on Nvidia (NVDA) on the back of Broadcom's (AVGO) $10 billion A.I. chip deal announced last week. Jenny Horne says the cut is notable but points to strong fundamentals and a still-bullish A.I. narrative favoring Nvidia long-term. Applovin (APP) leapt higher to all-time highs after the company was among a group of stocks picked to join the S&P 500 (SPX). MarketAxess (M...

Tesla (TSLA) continues to outperform the legacy automakers over the past year. Rick Ducat breaks down the technical conditions for its chart, pointing out the $365 level as a key test area for upside resistance. Rick then illustrates an example options trade for Tesla using a Sep. 19 expiry unbalanced call butterfly. He explains the bullish nature of the position and dissects the risk profile visu...

Mike Dickson says the labor market is something to pay attention to this month and believes September could be "rocky." He cites historical performance trends for the fall month. In terms of the current rally, Mike points to a lack of broad participation and says the A.I. stocks are pulling the markets forward. Mike believes diversifying a portfolio to include international markets can h...

Paul Meeks looks at Oracle (ORCL) ahead of the company's earnings report. He expects them to continue to show momentum as it plays a central role in the A.I. trade. What Paul is curious to hear from the company is regarding its capital expenditure guidance and cash burn rate. He does caution that an A.I. bifurcation could be on the horizon between software and hardware companies, adding a comp...

Jay Woods joins Diane King Hall at the NYSE set to kick off the new week of trading. On the heels of Friday's market movement after the latest jobs report, he believes this is still one of the "most hated" rallies in the market. Looking ahead to this week, he's watching the CPI print. He wants to see mortgage rates come down, and is closely watching treasury yields as an indicato...

Looking at the chart for Nvidia (NVDA), Rachel Dashiell says its had "an incredible run" for the last few months. She displays a 90-day chart timeframe which is in a strong sideways-moving trend over the last few weeks. Rachel underlines key support levels, and says the stock may just be "taking a little breather" before possibly continuing its overall upward trend. She compare...

Earnings season is winding down but there's still key companies to watch heading into this week. Alex Coffey talks about Oracle's (ORCL) importance when it comes to cloud revenue, Adobe's (ADBE) potential for a significant comeback, and Chewy's (CHWY) pressure to grow while retaining current customers. Kevin Green offers detailed analysis by giving investors a look into the charts. ======== Schwab...

Eric Pachman breaks down the August jobs report. He notes that healthcare and social services are only 17% of jobs in the U.S. but is disproportionately growing new jobs in the U.S. labor market. The rest of sectors, he says, are flashing recession signals. He doesn’t even think a 50 basis point rate cut can fix things, citing Powell’s comments that the Fed has little control over structural chang...

As the fall football season kicks into full swing, DraftKings (DKNG) shares are hovering below 6-month highs. George Tsilis examines the online sports wagering company. He provides a full overview of its competitive landscape, including Flutter's (FLUT) FanDuel as well as traditional brick-and-mortar casino stocks like MGM Resorts (MGM) and Penn Entertainment (PENN). George dives into the comp...

Most indices closed higher even as seasonal volatility kicked off September trading. Alphabet (GOOGL) closed as one of the SPX's biggest winners, rallying 10% after a U.S. district court judge rules the company can keep its Google Chrome browser. Broadcom (AVGO) jumped on strong earnings and guidance — along with reports that it inked a $10 billion A.I. chip deal with OpenAI. Lululemon (LULU)...

Andrew Wang discusses the potential for the Supreme Court to weigh in on the Trump administration's authority to impose tariffs. With a federal appeals court striking down the majority of President Trump's tariffs, Wang believes the decision could set a precedent on economic power between the President and Congress. He notes that 40% of CFOs cite tariff concerns as their top business worry...

George Tsilis turns to a stock many don't realize is important to the A.I. race: Credo Technology (CRDO). He talks about the company's ties to hyperscalers and how earnings bolster the company's future positioning. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS...

Charles Schwab's Cooper Howard says Friday's nonfarm payrolls report confirms a lot of speculation surrounding a slower labor market. He adds that June's report being revised down only adds to the weakness narrative. Cooper expects the FOMC to cut 25bps on interest rates in September but says he'll be "surprised" to see 50bps based on where inflation currently stands. How...

Phillip Streible examines the commodities market following a weak jobs report that sent 10-year Treasury yields to a low not seen since April. He discusses the potential for a 50 basis point interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's September meeting and its impact on gold prices, which have rallied to record highs. He also weighs in on the likelihood of gold reaching $5000 an ounce. ========...

Early turbulence on Friday led to consolidation throughout the rest of the day in the SPX. Kevin Green goes deeper into the technicals through the one-year weekly chart in SPX futures, highlighting how continuing consolidation can flash bearish signals ahead. On tech, Kevin turns to the sector's SPDR ETF (XLK) and shows how a bearish MACD cross can derail bullish traction. ======== Schwab Netw...

Despite a lackluster jobs report, Jordan Shapiro sees reasons to be optimistic about the U.S. labor market. He attributes job losses in manufacturing, government, and other sectors to cyclical factors rather than sector-specific challenges. Shapiro also notes that the long-term unemployed number is a concern, but sees it as a sign of a shifting labor market rather than a crack in the economy. He e...

Jason Blackwell shares his insights on the Federal Reserve's potential rate cut. Blackwell believes a 25 basis point cut is more likely than 50 basis points, as the Fed aims to balance both sides of its mandate. He thinks the labor market is softer but not falling out of bed, and expects a recovery due to seasonality and hiring. He suggests investors consider high-quality, short-to-intermediat...

Patrick Mueller and Amy Glaser give their takeaways from the jobs report. Patrick thinks that jobs will begin to uptick from here. Amy agrees and is “gearing up for the September surge,” looking at pulled-forward seasonal hiring. Patrick doesn’t give “much credence” to the idea that the shift in employment is a structural change rather than cyclical, citing manufacturing returning to the U.S. He a...