Unhedged

On Tuesday, the American railroad giant Union Pacific announced its intention to buy Norfolk Southern, promising to fulfill Abraham Lincoln’s dream of a transcontinental railroad. Today on the show, the FT’s deals correspondent Oliver Barnes joins Rob Armstrong to talk about whether President Donald Trump will make or break the deal. Also, we go short cafe cars and long shorts in the office. ...

Experts agree: When it comes to tariffs, Europe just got trounced. So did the American consumer, who will pay these taxes. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Ben Hall, the FT’s Europe editor, discuss the terms of the deal, and why Europe didn’t retaliate. Also they go long US oil production and short the long-term health of American manufacturing.  Sign up for the FT Weekend Festival at ft....

When Republicans won the White House and both houses of Congress last fall, mergers and acquisitions bankers celebrated. But when President Donald Trump took office, M&A stagnated. Today on the show, the FT’s Wall Street editor Sujeet Indap tells Aiden Reiter why that may be changing, with big deals pending on everything from railroads to media conglomerates. Also, they go long Scottie Scheffl...

Today on the show, Aiden Reiter talks with Lex editor John Foley about three things to watch this summer: 24-hour trading, tech earnings and Tesla’s new approach to robotaxis. Also, they go short Bank Holidays, and long properly measuring GDP.  For more on 24-hour trading, check out Jennifer Hughes’ guest appearance on the FT’s Behind the Money podcast. Link here. Sign up for the FT Weekend F...

Nvidia is now the most valuable company in America, as AI seems to power an unstoppable market. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Aiden Reiter ask if it reminds anyone of the dotcom bubble. Also they go long snow globes and long stone fruit.  Sign up for the FT Weekend Festival at ft.com/festival and use the promo code “FTPodcasts” for 10 per cent off.  For a free 30-day trial to the U...

The acquisition of Heinz and Kraft by 3G Capital and Warren Buffett seemed like a classic play from the world’s most famous investor: buy boring staples with long histories and hold them forever. But not this time. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Lex editor John Foley talk about Buffett’s exit from a merger on the verge of a spinoff. Also they go long crypto and long tariffs that might actual...

Jane Street is one of the biggest traders in the world, and they have become embroiled in accusations of market manipulation in India. Today on the show, Katie Martin and special guest Robin Wigglesworth, from the FT’s Alphaville newsletter, try to explain how Jane Street got so big and why it matters. Also they go short bed bugs and short Strategy’s strategy.  Sign up for the FT Weekend Fest...

Despite looming economic problems, the stock market continues to climb. Today on the show, Katie Martin, Rob Armstrong and Aiden Reiter ask what could finally end the party. Also they go short consultants and short hot yoga.  Sign up for the FT Weekend Festival at ft.com/festival and use the promo code “FTPodcasts” for 10 per cent off.  For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter...

The US dollar is having its worst year since 1973. And 1973 was a really bad year. As the US takes a break to celebrate independence from the UK, Katie Martin and Ian Smith discuss the glow-down of the greenback. Also they go long forensic accountants and long aged hedge funders playing tennis.  For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer ....

The weakening dollar suggests international investors are looking for other places to put their money. This could be an opportunity for Europe to finally compete with the US as a safe haven and reserve currency. But Europe is still financially fragmented. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong discuss a new idea for creating a common regulatory and lending framework. Also they go short...

A lot of people are worried about the Middle East, but markets are doing just fine. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Aiden Reiter talk about why investors are buying US again — and whether that will end badly. Also, they go long exotic fruits and the perennial Citigroup buy note.  For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . You can ema...

President Donald Trump has called US Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell “very dumb, hardheaded” and a “numbskull” for not lowering interest rates. But for some reason, people still want Powell’s job. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong look at the contenders. Also, they go long restaurant inflation and community gardening.   For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter...

Unhedged is off today so instead we're bringing you an episode from our fellow FT podcast, Behind the Money. In this episode, we look at how LVMH’s wine and spirits division, Moët Hennessy, has long been a source of success – and cash – for the luxury goods behemoth. But more recently, that’s changed. The FT’s Paris correspondent Adrienne Klasa, found that certain strategic decisions made under th...

Israel and Iran are at war, but markets have yet to freak out. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Katie Martin dig into what’s happening with oil, the dollar and gold — and what Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell will say following this week’s FOMC meeting. Also, they go long New York pizza and golden telephones.   For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft....

Tesla stock feels like it runs on uncut animal spirits. But the company’s fortunes have been bound up with the US government since long before the Trump administration. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Aiden Reiter sort through the factors that drive the company’s stock. Also, they go long the price of copper and long short shorts. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: http...

Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) continues its meteoric rise as new investors purchase a company whose basic business is to own bitcoin. Naturally, the firm has inspired copycats, such as the Japanese hotel developer that just started buying crypto and now trades for more than the value of all its assets. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Katie Martin try to figure out if there’s any way it do...

The last 12 months have been great for Walmart, with its stock price rising on growing sales. And it’s all happening despite impending tariffs, and without adding more employees. Today on the show, US consumer editor Gregory Meyer joins Rob Armstrong to discuss what Walmart’s success can tell us about the future of American retail. Also, they go short online sports gambling and short New Jersey tr...

Equities are on a tear, led by the usual tech giants that make up the Magnificent Seven. But why? Rob Armstrong and Katie Martin go over the odd landscape of the current American economy, including scepticism about tariffs, inventory stockpiles, strong earnings and a budget that includes a tax on foreign investment in the US. Also they execute a complicated private equity pair trade and go long Ni...

Our co-host Rob Armstrong has been talking about the “Taco trade” (Trump Always Chickens Out) for a few weeks, and on Wednesday a journalist asked the US president about it. Trump did not like the question, not one bit. But the internet did. Now traders are worried Trump might not chicken out. Did Rob just crash the US economy? And, if so, would he like to apologise? Also, Katie goes long Elon Mus...

President Donald Trump’s ‘big beautiful’ bill was passed by the House of Representatives last week. It adds yet more deficit spending to the US budget. But can it survive the bond market? Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Katie Martin discuss how deficit spending affects the bond market and what can happen when yields rise dramatically. Also they go long the euro as a new international reserve...

Special purpose acquisition companies are basically bags of money looking for businesses to acquire. They boomed in 2021 and then went into hiding. Now they’re back and booming. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Aiden Reiter survey the frontiers of Spacs. Also they go short the dollar and long jewels.  For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedg...

Microcaps of every sort have been rushing to list on US exchanges. Many are from China and represent shares in tiny companies, such as a chain of hot pot stores. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Aiden Reiter talk to correspondent George Steer about the boom and try to figure out what’s going on. Also, they go long the SEC’s Caroline Crenshaw and short DJs.  For a free 30-day trial to the U...

Recent announcements about trade deals with the UK and China have cheered markets. But what exactly did the UK agree, and why? Today on the show, the FT’s trade guru Alan Beattie joins Katie Martin to unpack the negotiations. Also they go short droughts and long globalisation.  For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . You can email Robert Ar...

Lower-than-expected inflation and the start of negotiations with China seemed to help stocks on Monday. But the dollar remained uncharacteristically weak. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Aiden Reiter ask if America is feeling good, or just relieved to be alive. Also they short gold and go long pope memes. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoff...

At the annual meeting of Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett announced his retirement from day-to-day management. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong look at his incredible career, and try to figure out what becomes of a somewhat random collection of businesses. Also they go short Google and long complacency.  For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www....