Macro Horizons

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss the likely results of the Presidential election and the implications of a Biden Presidency with a Republican Senate for spread markets. Other topics include this week’s FOMC meeting, the prospects for fiscal stimulus, and the recent widening in swap spreads.

Ian Lyngen, Ben Jeffery, and Jon Hill bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of November 2nd, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton give their thoughts on why credit spreads have not reacted to broader market weakness over the past several weeks, and whether investors should view the current resiliency of credit spreads as a ‘trick’ or a ‘treat’. The Dans then give their thoughts on possible market reactions to next week’s presidential election.

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of October 26th, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of October 19th, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss the drivers behind the recent credit spread narrowing and whether it can be sustained in the weeks ahead. Finally, they react to some of the key SOFR/Libor headlines of the past couple weeks.

Ian Lyngen, Ben Jeffery, and Jon Hill bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of October 13th, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Margaret Kerins along with Ian Lyngen, Greg Anderson, Stephen Gallo, Dan Krieter, Ben Reitzes, Jon Hill, and Ben Jeffery from our FICC Macro Strategy team bring you their outlook for US rates, IG spreads and the USD as they focus on the evolving 2021 market narrative which includes the pace of progress towards a widely available vaccine, a stimulus package and the election results.

Ian Lyngen, Ben Jeffery, and Jon Hill bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of October 5th, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss the drivers behind both credit and swap spreads breaking out of multi-month channels during the past week, as well as whether the move will continue or reverse course in the near term.

Ian Lyngen, Ben Jeffery, and Jon Hill bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of September 28th, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss the 2020 Presidential election now less than six weeks away, and what it means for the near term direction of credit spreads.

Ian Lyngen, Ben Jeffery, and Jon Hill bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of September 21st, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss their takeaways from today’s surprising Fed meeting, as well as what tools remain available to the Fed and the effect those tools would likely have on credit spreads.

Ian Lyngen, Ben Jeffery, and Jon Hill bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of September 14th, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton make the case for wider and narrower credit spreads into year-end focused on four key factors: virus transmission and potential for a vaccine; technical and seasonal factors; monetary and fiscal stimulus; and the Presidential Election.

Ian Lyngen, Ben Jeffery, and Jon Hill bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of September 8th, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Margaret Kerins along with Ian Lyngen, Greg Anderson, Stephen Gallo, Dan Krieter, Ben Reitzes, Jon Hill, and Ben Jeffery from our FICC Macro Strategy team bring you their outlook for the US rates, IG spreads and the USD heading into the US elections and beyond.

Ian Lyngen, Ben Jeffery, and Jon Hill bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of August 31st, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss why deteriorating technicals may present a buying opportunity for spread market participants in September/October.

Ian Lyngen, Ben Jeffery, and Jon Hill bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of August 24th, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss the likelihood of credit spreads widening modestly in the fall months, and why any widening should be viewed as a buying opportunity ahead of credit spreads potentially touching historical lows in the current cycle.

Ian Lyngen, Ben Jeffery, and Jon Hill bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of August 17th, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss some recent key developments in the Libor-SOFR transition, including: ISDA’s soon to be released protocol, Libor fallback values, and the potential for a pre-cessation trigger by the end of 2020. In addition, they cover key obstacles that remain including a term structure for SOFR and ultimately whether or not the end of 2021 remains a viable target for the end o...

Ian Lyngen, Ben Jeffery, and Jon Hill bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of August 10th, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.