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JSEDirect with Simon Brown
Weekly roundup of what's happening on the JSE in South Africa hosted by Simon Brown. Focusing on stocks outside the Top40 index it includes; company results, updates, market moves, week ahead, trading tips/products and book reviews. Published Thursday every week.
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27. Okt 2026
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Unlisted Shares (# 349) 24.04.2019 19:27
Simon Shares So Christo Wiese wants to sell his non economic but voting Shoprite* (JSE code: SHP) shares back to the company for some R3.6billion? I thinks not, albeit seems I am in a minority here. Afrimat (JSE code: AFT) has made a non-binding offer to buy a Universal Coal (an Australian company mining in SA). The deal is about half their market cap and at a price some 10% better than the next b...
What's the NAV? (348) 17.04.2019 17:43
Simon Shares The Power Hour from last week by Nerina Visser on ETF fees is awesome and online. What's the net asset value? Net asset value (NAV) is from the balance sheet and is asset less liabilities. The break up value of the company. A share will typically trade above this value as we're buying future profits, not break up value. Tangible NAV (TNAV) is better as this excludes things such as goo...
Fear and loathing on the JSE (#347) 10.04.2019 22:36
Simon Shares A strong start to the year and so far it seems to be continuing (even as the Rand trdes belw R14) - long may it last. Important to remember that Rand strength is not always the end of the world for our market as it signals foreign buying. S&P500 ETFs. Up coming events; 11 April ~ JSE Power Hour: Know your fees with Nerina Visser Fear and loathing on the JSE We're seeing a new trend on...
Sell like a pro (#346) 03.04.2019 7:24
Simon Shares Up coming events; 11 April ~ JSE Power Hour: Know your fees with Nerina Visser Selling like a pro We tend to focus on the buying, enteries and selling at profit. But what of selling at a loss? Far to often i hear people state it has fallen too much and so there's no point in selling - this is false. Ignore the loss you already have and focus on the loss ahead of you. A stock that has...
Avoiding the next Steinhoff (# 345) 20.03.2019 23:48
Simon Shares No Brexit deal with 8 days to go. A mess of epic proportions. Load shedding is in full force (well only force 4 with more stages to go) and it's bad. Seems we can expect a 'stable' electrical grid sometime towards the end of the year, albeit stable may still include stage 1 load shedding according to experts I have spoken to. The reasons we know and frankly don't matter. It also doesn...
Investment lessons from Boeing (#334) 13.03.2019 18:44
Simon Shares Group5 (JSE code: GRF) goes into business rescue with "a slim chance for any realisation of value.". It seems the construction of a power station in Ghana was the final nail. Remember the +R1billion they were offered to their Eastern European toll operations? But in the end a lack of liquidity killed them. Be very careful of holding Aveng (JSE code: AEG), if nothing else check the bid...
#343: MultiChoice lists, now what? 28.02.2019 16:02
Simon Shares Greenest start to a year since the 1960's, Top40 is 6.9% up year-to-date. MultiChoice (JSE code: MCG) has unbundled out of Naspers (JSE code: NPN) with MultiChoice closing at R106 and Naspers off R125 on the back of Tencent weakness over night in Hong Kong. So no value unlock and with fair values for MutliChoice being between 8500c - R150. Most people I speak to say at current prices...
#342: Equal weight needs your vote to be SMART 20.02.2019 29:05
Making the CSEW40 SMART The CoreShares Equal Weight Top40 ETF (JSE code: CSEW40) has long been a favourite of mine, but now CoreShares want to change the ETF to a multi factor ETF under the code SMART. Those factors are; Value (portfolios of cheap shares outperform portfolios of expensive shares) Momentum (portfolios of recent share winners continue to win in the near term) Size (portfolios of sma...
#341: Managing managed accounts 13.02.2019 20:01
Simon Shares Eskom is "technically insolvent" and load shedding is back, why are we surprised? This was promised us when we had some in December. Bottom line it's a mess, costly to the economy and fixing Eskom is critical and very difficult. Watch the budget next week. EOH woes continue as the stock lost over 20% on Tuesday on the news that Microsoft had cancelled their partnership agreement. In a...
#340: Where's the liquidity? 06.02.2019 20:24
Simon Shares A green January with financials the winners but 2019 is going to be a wild ride, especially in the lead up to the elections expected in May. Tax-free year end is end February, don't leave it for the last minute if you want money in this tax year ending 28 February. Budget on 20 February we'll see if we get any changes to the annual limits. Clover (JSE code: CLR) is delisting at 2500c....
#339: Where's Safcoin? 30.01.2019 19:16
Simon Shares Retailers, woe is worrid. Aside from Foschini (JSE code; TFG) and Lewis (JSE code: LEW) they have ranged from horrid to truly astoundingly horrid. Shoprite* (JSE code: SHP) has also put out a trading update to follow on from the so-so sales update and aside from some internal issues and Angolan hyperinflation the margins are also crumbling. EOH caught in a SENS from Eskom late on Mond...
#338: Know your S12J 23.01.2019 31:16
Simon Shares The rule of 72 (how long until your money doubles in value). Upcoming events Tax-free investing review, who ate the returns? Know your S12J Simon chats with Dino Zuccollo & Jonti Osher from Westbrooke Alternative Asset Management to really get to understand S12J. The rules, risks, benefits, what to look out for and more. Subscriber to our feed here Subscribe or review us in iTunes...
#337: 2019 predictions show 16.01.2019 41:09
Simon Shares Learn to love a lazy market Upcoming events Tax-free investing review, who ate the returns? 2019 predictions show Every year March Ashton, Keith McLachlan and Simon Brown do a predictions show. Three wild and wooly predictions for the markets followed by a call on the Top40 and ZAR. Every show starts with a review of the previous years predictions and you'll find them here . Subscribe...
#336: End of year portfolio review 12.12.2018 19:31
This JSE Direct is proudly brought to you by IG, the specialists in CFD trading and a registered financial services provider. Simon Shares Somebody capitulated on Metrofile* (JSE code: MFL) this morning. The stocks hit 160c, then 239c and is now 1c up at 220c and I picked up a few on a DY of over 10%. Over R4million has traded so far, so decent volume for this stock. SENS just out is that Sabvest...
#335: Everything is Falling 05.12.2018 13:10
This JSE Direct is proudly brought to you by IG, the specialists in CFD trading and a registered financial services provider. Simon Shares Load shedding is back and reports are it's going to be around until maybe 2025 as Eskom needs R200billion. This hurts, we got our of recession yesterday with QonQ GDP growth at 2.2%, but we're going to struggle to grow without electricity. Importantly remember...
#334: Smashed coin 28.11.2018 18:59
This JSE Direct is proudly brought to you by IG, the specialists in CFD trading and a registered financial services provider. Simon Shares Taste (JSE code: TAS), nasty results and they're running out of money and still not profitable. I think a delisting is likely. Another Viceroy research report just landed, this time targeting NEPI Rockcastle (JSE code: NRP). The sock is off 14%. Most are decryi...
#333: Structuring Europe 21.11.2018 24:10
This JSE Direct is proudly brought to you by IG, the specialists in CFD trading and a registered financial services provider. Simon Shares This JSE Direct is proudly brought to you by IG, the specialists in CFD trading and a registered financial services provider. Invicta (JSE code: IVT) HEPS at 2c with the SARS fine costing 187c in HEPS. Wescoal (JSE code: WSL) results knocking it out of the park...
#332: Managing the pain of losing money 07.11.2018 20:35
This JSE Direct is proudly brought to you by IG, the specialists in CFD trading and a registered financial services provider. Simon Shares Mid terms, Democrats sweep Congress while Republicans keep the Senate and now things get interesting. Markets will likely ignore this, remember the immediate sell off after Brexit and Trump victories and then the rally. But this removes Trump and the Republican...
#331: Portfolio results and updates 31.10.2018 19:47
This JSE Direct is proudly brought to you by IG, the specialists in CFD trading and a registered financial services provider. Simon Shares Calgro M3* (JSE code: CGR) results a horror. Sure some is due to the new IFRS, but a lot else hurting them right now and I am selling my last remaining shares having sold the bulk in December 2015 at over 2000c. Santova* (JSE code: SNV) results show stronger Ra...
#330: Correlation is not causation 24.10.2018 19:20
This JSE Direct is proudly brought to you by IG, the specialists in CFD trading and a registered financial services provider. Simon Shares More delistings. I write about this for next weeks FinWeek. But it is expected and does indicate we're at (or near) a bottom with quality at really cheap valuations. Top40 just holding above 45,000 making us literally a few hundred points away from an official...
#329: Too small to matter 10.10.2018 22:19
This JSE Direct is proudly brought to you by IG, the specialists in CFD trading and a registered financial services provider. Simon Shares NO show next week (18 Oct 18), I am holidaying. Remember the chart of the Top40 I posted a few weeks back, showing the trading range? We broken the range again, but this time to the downside and we're not almost 15% off the November 2015 highs. Not the end of t...
JSEDirect 328 20181004 03.10.2018 13:29
Simon Shares This JSE Direct is proudly brought to you by IG, the specialists in CFD trading and a registered financial services provider. September was such a rough month that the best performing full equity fund in South Africa returned -0.4% for the month. Not a single full local equity fund was positive. Upcoming events 11 October ~ JSE Power Hour: Investing in listed property 18 October ~ J...
#327: Are you buying? 26.09.2018 16:16
Simon Shares This JSE Direct is proudly brought to you by IG, the specialists in CFD trading and a registered financial services provider.' Alexander Forbes (JSE code: AFH) fires their CEO with zero f***s given. Nigeria making nice to MTN (JSE code: MTN) and Standard Bank (JSE code: SBK). Choppies (JSE code: CHP) snuck a late Friday SENS into the market stating that results would be late (again) a...
#326: Managing fallen angels 19.09.2018 26:19
Simon Shares CPI 4.9% vs 5.2%, rates on hold? Naspers (JSE code: NPN) unbundling Multichoice. About R5.5billion profit so market cap some R55billion on 10x PE. That puts them into the Top40. The theory that Multichoice is dead is very misplaced. Aspen (JSE code: APN) gives another update to the market trying to help investors make sense of their results, and the stock is off +9% at just over R170....
#325: Shares or cash for dividend? 12.09.2018 13:58
Simon Shares Metrofile* (JSE code: MFL) results were a mixed bag with the reduced dividend expected but they are essentially going to almost halve the cover ratio over two years and that is more aggressive than expected. Growth was modest, but the results commentary was even ore modest. Two analysts I know spoke to management and both came away very confident of the stock and its prospects. A lot...
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