Schwab Network

Scott Martin offers his take on the outlook for interest rates as the Fed balances renewed tensions between the U.S. and Iran pose a threat to the inflation picture. If crude oil stays elevated, Scott explains why investors will want to remain cautious heading into midterm elections and beyond. Global trade tensions in new Canadian tariffs and Iran sanctions complicate the international outlook. =...

Maria Llerena outlines her expectations for the Fed and its interest rate outlook after Kevin Warsh set a hawkish-leaning tone at Jackson Hole. She weighs inflation and job market risks still ahead as rate hike chances sit at a coin toss's probability. As the AI buildout continues, Maria offers her takeaways on how she sees the tech developments impacting productivity and whether it will lead...

PG&E (PCG) is a stark underperformer in an energy sector rallying Monday morning. Diane King Hall points to a piece of Californian legislation centered on wildfire reforms as the culprit. GameStop (GME) shares rallied after the company released its preliminary earnings that showed net income growth despite a quarterly sales decline. Diane turns to the agriculture space in Deere's (DE) rall...

"I would expect September to be a choppy month for stocks," says Jason Bodner, who talks about the macro set-up and fund flows into commodities suggesting a tone of market rotation for the new month. That said, he says, "the AI trade is alive and well" as highlighted by Nvidia (NVDA) earnings. Once the midterms are out of the way, he expects to see a strong year-end rally in th...

Escalation between the U.S. and Iran sets a sour tone for a new trading week as crude oil prices surge into Monday's session. Kevin Hincks explains how the headlines will hit the stock market short-term, and why a new deal between the U.S. and Venezuela can buoy long-term risks. He then turns to the week ahead by highlighting key jobs data he sees moving the market, including the August jobs r...

BYD Co. (BYDDY) has proven to be a strong competitor to Tesla (TSLA) in the Chinese EV market, as have Nio Inc. (NIO) and XPeng (XPEV). However, as Tu le explains, the Elon musk-led giant has picked up speed in its EV industry despite facing key headwinds to expand its road ahead. Tom White offers an example options trade for Tesla. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and tr...

John Ternus will step up as Apple's (AAPL) first new CEO in 15 years since Tim Cook took the position in 2011. Marley Kayden recaps Apple's legacy under Cook and the stellar rise the stock has seen under his leadership. Charles Moon of Prosper Trading Academy offers an example options trade for the Mag 7 stock. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every ma...

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech makes Liz Ann Sonders believe the FOMC will hike interest rates, the question is when. A reescalation in the U.S.-Iran war and global trade wars pose as a threat to the inflation outlook. Michelle Gibley analyzes the Japanese yen's recent weakness and the greater implications it has for U.S. stocks. In China, she believes the country made a lot o...

Chris Galipeau says earnings strength has held the stock market up despite ever-growing geopolitical risks. "Any pullback in September through October, we're a buyer," says Chris. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's remarks on a strong economy, with a hawkish tilt on interest rates, adds to Chris's confidence in forward momentum. The U.S. Treasury's push to add bond liquidity is anot...

Palantir (PLTR) has rallied more than 40% from June's 52-week lows, bolstered heavily by earnings early in August. Tom White walks investors through the rising software giant's price action and explains how bulls regaining momentum in the stock. He offers an example options trade for Palantir. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscrib...

Amanda Rastovic turns to the Strait of Hormuz and lasting tensions between the U.S. and Iran as both force exchange fire once again. "It's kind of questionable what is moving through" the Strait at this time, says Amanda, who explains how the sluggish waterway traffic will create lasting implication for global trade in the months to come. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering e...

A pullback is on the table for September, says Jay Woods, who calls out seasonal volatility and tech's recent surge as dominos that can fall and lead to a chain reaction. The question he poses to investors: "how long with the stumble happen" before an eventual rebound? Jay sees the software sector leading bullish momentum, calling out Microsoft (MSFT) and Palantir (PLTR) as "gap...

Deere (DE) shares have experienced strong consolidation over the last few months, as Rachel Dashiell of Charles Schwab points to key support and resistance levels to note in the stock chart. As she explains, Deere's entire sector is hitting critical support, offering more opportunity for a further rally. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. S...

Adam Lampe believes there's still plenty of upside potential in markets even as the macro front faces a new test in renewed tensions between the U.S. and Iran. In the tech space, he says Alphabet (GOOGL) remains a key AI play "even as the market writes its own obituary" for some aspects of the company. Adam names Broadcom (AVGO) as another key stock to watch. He then turns to the bro...

The U.S. and Iran publicly acknowledged strikes against each other for the first time in over a month. Jenny Horne points out that the headlines have sent crude oil prices spiking ahead of Monday's trading session and highlights macro movers to keep an eye on this week. Among the key data points to watch: the August jobs report, JOLTS, and ADP employment. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empow...

With back to school season in full swing, Charles O'Shea turns to the retail sector and its durability and earnings potential ahead. He discusses the headwinds and tailwinds he sees for companies across the sector, from Kohl's (KSS) and Gap (GAP) in the clothing space, to retail giants like Walmart (WMT) and Target (TGT). Tom White offers an example options trade for Walmart.

Cooper Howard from @CharlesSchwab says he's surprised with how hawkish Fed Chair Kevin Warsh came off during his speech at Jackson Hole. He tells investors to keep an eye on incoming inflation data as the FOMC clearly emphasizes inflation as the metric to watch. Jim Farraioli talks about the "rebirth of the debasement trade" and how the tone of Warsh's press conference shapes Bit...

Orphe Divounguy recaps Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole. He notes Warsh's comments on the labor force slowdown and AI's investment boom aiding it as a key takeaway, believing it will keep the FOMC focused on inflation. On the housing market, Orphe says Warsh is facing restraint from the bond market as "part of the calculus" to countering further weakness.

Tony Zipparro says the headline numbers for Big Tech earnings like Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN) show "phenomenal" growth. The problem he sees lies in how the numbers will affect GDP, along with raising questions on how these earnings pave a clear path to AI ROI. Tony also explains that the growth picture faces a key headwind: a K-shaped economy where the bottom thir...

Carol Schleif discusses the volatility she expects to see around the Fed's Jackson Home symposium and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech. On the path of interest rates, she tells investors to brace for a mostly neutral road ahead as the FOMC remains divided on how to read inflation and jobs data. For inflation in particular, Carol notes the U.S.-Iran war and tariffs making the Fed's job ev...

Rick Gardner of RGA Investments says markets are responding positively to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech. Gardner says Warsh appeared flexible on whether additional rate hikes are needed while keeping inflation at the center of the Fed’s policy debate. He also points to Warsh’s use of new task forces as a sign that it is no longer business as usual at the central bank.

Drew Glover of Fiat turns to the venture capital space and how smaller firms can compete with more established names. As he explains, a lot of it comes down to distribution. Drew uses his own experience at Fiat to give people working in similar firms more perspective.

Synopsys (SNPS) "is such an important company" at "such an important time," says Cory Johnson. He explains how the company plays a critical role for Big Tech firms like Nvidia (NVDA) and ways its acquisition of Ansys expanded the company's moat. Cory adds that the AI evolution gives Synopsys more tools to build on software products.

Adam Lynch (@CharlesSchwab) offers his big picture take on the state of the crypto space following Bitcoin's recent rally. On the Clarity Act, Adam outlines the legislative path Congress has to navigate before passage. It comes as other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, Solana, and Hyperliquid surge on anticipation of deeper regulation.

As AI bandwidth requirements rise, so do opportunities for growth in photonics and optical services, says Hong Yi Chen of Tema ETFs. He turns to key stocks he sees benefitting from the growing need, pointing to Lumentum (LITE) as a leader. Hong highlights the Tema Photonics & Optical ETF (LAZR) as a way his firm aims to provide returns portfolio returns as the space develops.