Schwab Network

Mark Travis keeps the latest market volatility in perspective, noting double-digit gains over the last few years. A “reluctant seller,” he looks to heirloom businesses and aims for the long-term, referencing Warren Buffett’s “sloth” strategy. Mark expects to see a “bear market of time” where markets flatline for a while rather than tumbling. He likes Garmin (GRMN), Watsco (WSO), and Sprott (SII)....

Citigroup sees export supply constraints centered on the Strait of Hormuz as a catalyst for Dow Inc. (DOW), upgrading the stock to buy from neutral. Diane King Hall talks about the firm's recent note, along with Occidental Petroleum's (OXY) double upgrade from Wells Fargo. On the opposite end of the spectrum, she turns to downgrades across the consumer staples sectors from Wells Fargo that...

"Once we start seeing free-flowing oil again," Wall Street will set the foundation for its rebound, argues Kevin Mahn. That said, he says "I'm surprised markets haven't pulled back even more," a "helpful" sign for stock market strength. Kevin talks about key defense and nuclear power-centric stocks he likes, from L3Harris (LHX) and Kratos (KTOS) to Huntington...

In software's staggering sell-off, Adobe (ADBE) is a stock Rick Ducat calls "one of the worst" companies in the sector to face bearish price action. He notes a rebound in recent weeks but sees resistance building a wall against a further push higher. Rick runs investors through his technical analysis and monitors options activity to weigh if bulls can take over stock momentum. ======...

Crude oil crossed above the $90 mark once again, with Ben Emons calling the price shock "one of the biggest since the seventies." It's not just energy you'll want to watch, either, with Ben calling out chemical and food production stocks as other key movers volatility will hit. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to t...

Charles Schwab's Kevin Horner notes an impressive rally in Ulta Beauty (ULTA) serving as its own headwind into earnings Thursday. He points a technical dip in shares below the 50-day SMA as a warning sign against momentum. Kevin uses his expertise to highlight levels to watch once Ulta reports. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe t...

Volatility in the oil market persists with tankers being sunk in the Middle East. Kevin Green talks about how countries across the globe are releasing hundreds of millions of oil barrels to control crude costs. Chemical stocks also caught a bid as U.S. and Iran tensions grow. KG later turns to the S&P 500 and his "cautious" approach for Thursday's trading action as put options ac...

Charles Schwab's Nathan Peterson weighs how geopolitical and crude oil volatility hit Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. However, as he explains it, crypto has shown surprising resilience. Nate later highlights key levels he sees as current resistance than can become new support. He also talks about how banking lobbyists are attempting to find "middle ground" with Florida's new...

Energy markets are tense as the IEA moves toward a record oil release amid Middle East risks. Marley Kayden and Sam Vadas warn February’s 2.4% CPI misses the impact of surging crude, while focus shifts to retail earnings from Dollar General (DG) and DICK’S Sporting Goods (DKS) alongside key economic data. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Optio...

Nebius (NBIS) experienced a rebound rally and lifted other data center and neocloud stocks after Nvidia (NVDA) announced a $2 billion investment in the company. Rick Ducat compares the stock's outperformance to peers like CoreWeave (CRWV), Applied Digital (APLD), and Oracle (ORCL). He also shows key support and resistance levels paired with elevated options activity following headlines of Nvid...

Meghna Maharishi covers the latest on the airline and travel sector. She estimates that the U.S./Iran war could cost airlines up to $24 billion extra in fuel. However, she thinks they will pay less by cutting flights and conserving cash in other ways. If not, this would “wipe out” profits across the sector, she says. “This could be particularly bad for the ultra-low cost carriers,” she adds. Meghn...

Lyle Fitterer discusses the broad market, noting that the war in Iran has pushed back expectations for a Fed rate cut to the fall at earliest. He thinks the yield curve will steepen based on this, although it’s relatively flat right now. Lyle shares where he sees opportunities in fixed-income, advising high-quality and conservative positioning. “We’re probably past peak credit,” he adds, and cover...

Jake Johnston covers the latest CPI report and how the U.S./Iran conflict will push inflation numbers higher over the next few months. Companies not as exposed to the commodities cycle may interest investors, including large tech and communication services, he argues.  ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Options involve risks and are not suitabl...

On the heels of Serve Robotics' (SERV) most recent earnings report, CEO Ali Kashani talks about the report and its most recent partnership with White Castle. It adds to Serve's roster of partnerships with Uber (UBER) Eats and DoorDash (DASH). Ali mentions the company's recent acquisition and expansion into hospitals as key growth drivers, with expectations to add thousands more deliver...

Brian Jacobsen and Sarah Foster preview next week’s Fed meeting. Sarah isn’t sure whether the latest CPI report is good or bad news because of the conflict with Iran. She notes that before the war, we were already in a difficult place for inflation. Brian points out how many industries rely on the Strait of Hormuz, including fertilizer, but sees the conflict as a “temporary detour” for inflation l...

The IPO market was booming – but now has been hit by a “wet blanket.” Greg Martin says the war in Iran is hitting IPOs by creating uncertainty, higher energy prices, and market volatility. “I’m still very optimistic, but we need to see some of these things sorted out.” SpaceX’s IPO, reportedly slated for June, could shake up the entire market, Greg says. Other megacap private AI companies expected...

Baruch Toledano breaks down SimilarWeb’s Generative AI Brand Visibility Report. “We measure real user prompts and responses,” and by understanding trending topics and which brands show up in LLM answers, they find that visibility is “highly concentrated.” Less well-known brands that are mentioned structure their content “correctly” for the AI to read, and are highly knowledgeable about specific ni...

Landon Swan from LikeFolio says Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) have a lot of tailwinds and fairly strong sentiment data, but competitors are still beating it. Youth sports spending is getting stronger every year, he notes, driving revenue. He also discusses how their acquisition of Foot Locker (FL) could impact earnings and what investors will be looking for. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empoweri...

Michelle Brouhard explains how the U.S. energy sector is entwined with the global oil trade, and how a U.S. export ban would affect the system. She notes that prices would fluctuate around the country and U.S. maritime rules would make moving energy around more difficult. It would also make the U.S. look like an “unreliable supplier” to the rest of the world. The move would also “exasperate” globa...

Robert Cantwell and Luke Yang break down Oracle (ORCL) earnings, with the stock up around 10% after the report. Robert estimates LLM revenue is around $50 billion total and heading quickly to $100 billion. However, Oracle is spending money faster than they’re bringing it in, he notes, and he is suspicious around their expense reporting. He argues that CoreWeave (CRWV) is a “pure play” on what Orac...

"It's going to get downright crazy" when it comes to market moves, says TheoTrade's Don Kaufman, urging investors to keep your heads on a swivel for the remainder of the trading week. As for his Big 3, he leans bearish on Baidu (BIDU) and Microsoft (MSFT) but bullish on the U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) after the airline industry's strong sell-off. Don offers example options tr...

"We can survive" with crude oil hovering around $80, but anything above that will hurt consumers, says Dale Smothers. If the commodity reaches $100 or higher, Dale expects pressures to pinch consumer staple stocks the most and will have much wider global implications. Additionally, "inflation has not been an issue up until this point," says Dale, meaning energy price spikes pai...

“The narrative is way more important than the numbers” for Adobe’s (ADBE) earnings Thursday afternoon, says Daniel Kern. “There’s the fear that they’re going to be hit on both sides” of their business, with price sensitivity “a real factor” for the consumer and pressure on enterprise. He’s looking for whether their AI-integrated suites are continuing to see demand. Tom White offers an example opti...

Oracle (ORCL) managed to keep mostly bullish optimism among analysts following earnings even though some cut price targets. Marley Kayden notes the guidance backed by a staggering $553 billion in RPO as a focal point in the print, highlighting ways Oracle is picking up speed in the AI trade. Prosper Trading Academy's Scott Bauer takes investors through an example options trade for Oracle. ====...

Liz Ann Sonders says the IEA’s oil reserves release will take “a couple hundred days” to actually move to the places it’s needed. She thinks the only thing that will settle the oil market is reopening shipping lanes. Liz Ann discusses how short-term traders are causing market volatility and argues rapid-fire rotation will continue. Long-term investors should reinforce their discipline, she adds. S...