JSEDirect with Simon Brown

Simon Shares Grindrod (JSE code: GND) just hit multi-year lows trading just above 900c with a net asset value (NAV) of over 2200c. Don't fight the trend, especially on cyclical stocks. RBA (JSE code: RBA) went bust on Tuesday. Of the three; RBA, Seakay and Calgro M3 (JSE code: CGR) only Calgro M3 remains. Lesson is simple. Go back five years, Calgro M3 was by far the best of the three, always buy...

Simon Shares Where's the party? Review: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock & Dan Gardner Great Davos 2016 report back presentation with Nicky Newton-King (JSE CEO) and Bronwyn Nielsen (CNBC Africa). Next week Thursday we have another JSE Power Hour on Tax Free Savings Accounts (TFSA). Clive Butkow GroTech A Venture Capital company one can invest into and recei...

Simon Shares Markets are volatile, but is the bear dead? I am buying Metrofile (JSE code: MFL). Good solid business that has solid earnings and currently on a dividend yield of just over 4%. Why is low oil causing such concerns on global markets? One would think it is good for consumers and hence good for economies? Davos 2016 report back presentation with Nicky Newton-King (JSE CEO) and Bronwyn N...

Simon Shares AB Inbev (JSE code: ANB) has arrived on the JSE as the largest stock by a mile. But I am not excited nor am I buying. The market is looking just weak, but this does not smell like 2008. How many people saying that actually were in the markets in 2008? That said more downside likely, under 40,000 on the Top40 seems certain. 35,000 anybody? Drikus Combrinck Capicraft How much money shou...

We’re back! It's 2016, wowzer. This week’s show is our annual predictions show with Marc Ashton, GM at Moneyweb, Keith McLachlan, Small/Midcap fund manager at Alpha Wealth and Simon Brown from JustOneLap. We did our first predictions show in January 2014 and and the second a year later and this is now our third show. Find 2014 here and 2015 here . We promised to revisit our predictions a year late...

Every year we end the JSE Power Hour series with a presentation from Simon Brown of Just One Lap in which he looks at his predictions for 2016 and how to position your portfolio accordingly. The video is below but we have included the audio only into this weeks JSEDirect. Included in the presentation is; Reviewing the 2015 predictions Top stock picks for 2016 The South African economy (GDP growth,...

Simon Shares Santova (JSE code: SNV) released results that had some dodge workings with the results. Last year they had some abnormal items in their HEPS that they were more than happy to accept. This year they're saying, no take those out to compare against this year as we didn't have the abnormal profits. Well hang on, you can't have it both ways. Either you include and compare or you don't. Thi...

Simon Shares Astoria (JSE code: ARA) listed yesterday and traded pretty much inline with net asset value (NAV) of USD1.00. I hold and like it very much. But it could be a tough year for the stock if Rand strengthens and US markets slow. Balwin (JSE code: BWN) published their first set of results as a listed company, for the six months ending August. Really strong numbers but one confusing comment...

Simon Shares MTN (JSE code: MTN) continues to fall as the latest rumour says the fine will not be reduced but that it could be paid off in instalments. However MTN has as it there way not issued any SENS on this so the market remains blind with only rumours to speculate on. I consent to stay away and will continue to do so. Balwin, Stor-Age, Trellidor, M-FiTech (JSE codes: BWN, SSS, TRL & MFI). Wh...

Simon Shares Lonmin (JSE code: LON) a disaster of a storey. Back in July 2008 Xstrata offered GBP33 a share valuing he company at around R100billion at the time. It was rejected as under valuing the company. Stock has traded over R600 in 2007, now under 200c and a massive (seriously massive) rights issue at 21.4c. This national drought is getting very real with all sorts of implications for local...

Simon Shares MTN (JSE code: MTN) really is making a mess of a bad situation and I have sold my holding as I can no longer trust management. Capitec (JSE code: CPI) has boomed through R600. Nothing can hold this stock back. We Get Mail Arin My question relates to the previous podcast when you mention that you will not be selling your Calgro M3 shares and you say that they are “fairly valued.” You h...

Simon Shares Balwin (JSE code: BWN) listing has been modest very modest as the stock trades around 1020c after listing at 988c and the first trade at 1100c. Lonmin (JSE code: LON) announces a massive rights issue to deal with their debt maturing in the second quarter of 2016. Initially a massive spike (short squeeze) before it settled down. Famous Brands (JSE code: FBR) were not bad. But top line...

Simon Shares Sygnia (JSE code: SYG), I got 3.85% allocation which was far from thrilling and have sold my holding. Pick n Pay (JSE code: PIK) results looking good. Margins still tight with trading margin 1.3% vs. 1.2% and share still expensive but turn around is happening. Mediclinic (JSE code: MDC) becoming Al Noor via a reverse take over. They will have 73 hospitals with around 10,200 beds and 3...

Simon Shares Lots of new listings hitting the JSE. Here's my 5 words on each. Sygnia - have applied and will sell Balwin - also applied and will hold Waco - bad sector, stay far away Trellidor - why owners selling if great? Capital Appreciation - SPACS not my investment style Capital and Regional - prefer property via an ETF Platinum stocks are all over the place, Lonmin (JSE Code: LON) has double...

Simon Shares Capitec (CPI)* results, as a shareholder I liked them a lot, HEPS +25% on PE os 21x. Loan duration and size down that shows their ability to turn the taps on / off at will. Cost to income edges another 1% higher while they continue to grow clients and deposits. Tigerbrands (TBS) CEO steps down. Has not been a happy period for him; Nigeria, Kenya, losing market share at home. Glencore...

Simon shares MPC no change on rates, seems increases will be very gradual. Maybe only 1 or 2 increases in 2016? Taste (TAS) hit 525c on the back of the Starbucks announcement. It now down at 400c, what's happening? Buy on rumour, sell on fact. What to do with your SABMiller (SAB) shares? I would take the money and run. How many shares should one have in a portfolio? We Get Mail Chat forum My Aveng...

Thoughts from Simon Mark Douglas has passed away, sad day for traders and perhaps an important reminder that there's more to life than just trading and markets? Mr Price (MPC) has been sluggish ever since that nasty trading update, seems maybe it coming alive again? Truworths maybe going into the shoe business in the UK. Tough market, not an exciting acquisition. SABMiller, finally Anheuser-Busch...

Thoughts from Simon Sibanye (SGL) buying Anglo Platinum (AMS) unwanted mines for R4.5bn. This is R1.5bn up front and a further minimum payment of R3bn based on free cash flow generated. Good for AMS but for SGL we'll see. Can Neal Froneman (CEO of SGL) make profits where others couldn't? Certainly that is his reputation but this is not going to be easy. Also SGL shareholders now have a gold/platin...

Thoughts from Simon Markets still wild, I still not concerned. Not because I saying it not going down, but because I love my portfolio. Check out this video we did last week on managing your portfolio in turbulent markets. MrPrice (MPC) has spooked the market sending the stock down 13% n the day. The update was that horrid but when you're a high flying stock you have to do better. Mr price is one...

Thoughts from Simon Wild markets, make sure you're have a SWAN portfolio (Sleep Well At Night) Week lazy system has moved 100% into cash for the first time since the 2008/9 crisis. Johann Erasmus Head of Global Structuring Standard Bank Group Chatting about their commodity Exchange Trades Funds (ETFs) and Exchange Traded Notes (ETNs) as well as the African ETN (SBAEI) and African Commodity ETN (SB...

Viv Govender Senior analyst Lehumo Capital Concerns about China make Kumba Iron Ore (KIO) the stock Viv dislikes while Europe is looking better after another Greek crisis being resolved. To this end Stienhoff (SHF) is the stock Viv does like. Warren Ingram Executive Director, Galileo Capital We chat differences between Exchange Traded Funds (ETF's) and Unit Trusts and also Tax Free Investing vs. R...

Gary McNamara Portfolio Manager Sanlam Private Wealth Like JSE (JSE) Tiger Brands (TBS) Dislike Lonmin (LON) Mark Humphreys Standard Online Share Trading We chat Tax Free Investments. How are they doing, are they real and worth it and what's the Standard Bank offering. We Get Mail Dominic As I know it; we need to pay the required level of Income Tax on profit made from the sale of shares over the...

Q&A with Satrix CEO, Helena Conradie Questions included; Unit trusts vs. Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) Costs Platforms Exotic ETFs New products coming Tracking errors and more We Get Mail Aubrey Do u know any ETF/Index that I can buy so that I can get exposure of Facebook? Keith (twitter) Bought Satrix Rafi Feb13 for +-9.49, peaked at +-R12.67 since then, but now +-R11.35.  Would u buy, hold or sel...

Nerina Visser ETF consultant Chatting property as an investment and using one of the three Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). She also touched on bond ETFs, the new CoreTop50 and Tax Free Accounts. We get mail Clive Your boot camp was appreciated yesterday however it has raised a query in my mind. I own DSY, which  is 25% owned by RMI which I own, which is owned 30% by REM which I own. On that basis do...

Wayne Dennehy Head of ETF’s and Passive Absa Capital Their RAFI Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) converted to S&P GIVI ETFs. We dig in what GIVI is all about. Chris Botha director Imara Asset Management Like Mondi PLC  EOH Not like Anglo American Sasol We Get Mail Johnny I know that you say this might be different for everyone, but I would like to have some idea of where to start in “deciding” what a...