Colton Thomas
Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopedia
Charged Alpha reviews earnings for each stock in the Russel 1000 every quarter. Each podcast gives thorough analysis, along with an in-depth profile in the beginning of the episode of the company, what they do, how they earn money and what to look for.
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Autor
Colton Thomas
Kategorie
Web podcastu
Nejnovější epizoda
22. říj 2026
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Epizody
MongoDB Stock: Backlog +91%, But 70% Was Never Invoiced - We Say SELL (MDB Q2 FY2027) 03.09.2026 8:56
MongoDB (MDB) Q2 FY2027 — The stock fell 13.5% the next session, from $434.21 to $375.40. The contracted backlog nearly doubled to $1.52bn and the tape read that as visibility. The 10-Q says 70.5% of it has never been invoiced to anybody and converts at the customers' own discretion - and only 18% of first-half revenue was sitting on the balance sheet when the half began. THE CALL: SELL (3/5, MODE...
HealthEquity Stock: A Record Quarter - and a $3B Rate Lock. Why We Say HOLD (HQY Q2 FY2027) 02.09.2026 14:00
HealthEquity (HQY) Q2 FY2027 — The stock fell 10.6% the same day, from $104.42 to $93.39. Records on every line, guidance raised - and the filing shows the company has fixed the rate on $3.04bn of future HSA cash at 3.93%, a position now $91.5m underwater that Note 10 feeds back through custodial revenue. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$101.27 vs ~$97.00 today. KEY METRICS: - Re...
SAIC Stock: Pretax Profit Up 10%, Net Income Down 20% Q2 FY2027 02.09.2026 14:37
Science Applications International (SAIC) Q2 FY2027 — Shares gapped 11.5% on results day and touched a 52-week high of $142.66, then handed the whole move back to close at $128.22, up just 1.79% on 4.6x volume; one session later they sit at $126.78. SAIC's income before income taxes ROSE 10.2% to $119M. Its net income FELL 19.7% to $102M. The entire $36M gap is one line: the base quarter carried a...
Sasol Stock (SSL): HOLD Call - Best Year In Five, Written Down Again FY2026 02.09.2026 14:28
Sasol Limited (SSL) FY2026 — SSL closed at $12.45, +3.6% against the $12.02 prior close, on 1.99m shares - about 2.4x the prior session. The ADR has risen 79% in twelve months and is still 12.9% below the $14.29 it reached on 5 May. Secunda - the coal-to-liquids complex behind almost all of Sasol's profit - had its highest annual output in five years and beat guidance. Sasol wrote it down anyway:...
YEXT Stock: HOLD - The Beat Came From The Buyback Q2 FY2027 02.09.2026 13:20
Yext (YEXT) Q2 FY2027 — YEXT closed the reaction session at $6.53, -3.5% on 2.90m shares, 2.2x the prior session - a beat, sold. Adjusted diluted EPS went $0.12 to $0.21 against a $0.17 bar. Decomposed, 4.4 cents of the 8.1-cent rise is the smaller share count and only 3.8 cents is higher profit - so 54% of the growth came from the denominator, and the share-count effect is larger than the 4.0-cen...
MiniMed Stock (MMED): HOLD Call - $319M Owed On The Growth Q1 FY2027 02.09.2026 14:57
MiniMed Group (MMED) Q1 FY2027 — MMED closed the reaction session at $22.42, +10.7% - the highest close it has ever had, on 6.07m shares, 5.1x the twenty-day median and 21.7% of the entire public float. MiniMed Flex - the insulin pump behind a U.S. growth acceleration to 13.1% and a +10.7% session - was developed on $324m of funding from Blackstone Life Sciences. For the first two years after U.S....
NIO Stock: SELL Call - 24,193 More Cars And A Bigger Loss Q2 2026 02.09.2026 14:35
NIO Inc (NIO) Q2 2026 — NIO closed the reaction session at $4.06, -4.0% - the lowest close in twelve months, on 81m shares. It is 49.4% below its $7.89 high of 2 October 2025. NIO delivered 24,193 more vehicles in the June quarter than in the March quarter - a 29.0% jump, and 49.4% more than a year ago. Those extra cars brought RMB1,047m of incremental gross profit and cost RMB1,086m of incrementa...
SBSW Stock: BUY Call - All 4 Mines Dug Less And Sibanye Still Posted A Record H1 2026 02.09.2026 8:56
Sibanye Stillwater (SBSW) H1 2026 — SBSW went in at $11.85 and closed the reaction session at $11.66 (-1.6%) - a record half-year, and the tape shrugged. It is 44.8% below its January close of $21.12 and 45.8% above its July low of $8.00. Every one of Sibanye-Stillwater's four producing operations mined LESS metal in the six months to 30 June 2026 - SA PGM 4E -1.8%, SA gold -2.2%, US PGM 2E -2.3%,...
MDT Stock: Half of Medtronic’s 13.7% Growth Was an Extra Week | Q1 FY2027 01.09.2026 13:20
Medtronic plc (MDT) Q1 FY2027 — Shares closed $92.04, up 1.5%, after opening at $94.00 and giving most of the pop back. Fiscal 2027 is a 53-week year and the extra week landed in Q1. Medtronic's own footnote puts it at $570m - 49% of the entire organic revenue increase. Strip it out and organic growth is 7.0%, not 13.7%, which is below the bottom of the 7.25-7.75% full-year guide the company raise...
NCNO Stock: SELL Call - $176M Of Buybacks On $115M Of Cash Q2 FY2027 31.08.2026 14:37
nCino (NCNO) Q2 FY2027 — NCNO went into the print at $20.81, closed the reaction session at $21.51 (+3.4%) and $22.99 two sessions later - 10.5% up on the print, and 64% above its March low of $14.01. nCino grew revenue 8.2% to $161.0m and swung GAAP operating income to +$13.6m from -$9.3m. But in the same six months it spent $175.7m retiring its own stock against $114.8m of free cash flow - and t...
CMBT Stock: SELL Call - Record $364M Quarter, But The Net Debt Equals The Market Cap 31.08.2026 12:57
CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) Q2 2026 — The stock rose 3.6% on the print and closed the week at $18.35, a twelve-month high. CMB.TECH earned $364.4m in the June quarter - $1.26 a share against $0.04 a year earlier - on revenue of $703.9m, up 81.5%. We tested the obvious objection (that the profit was really vessel sales) and rejected it: disposals were 35% of profit, not the whole of it. Our problem is the p...
HEI Stock: SELL Call - Two Tickers, One Company, 35% Apart Q3 FY2026 31.08.2026 14:16
HEICO Corporation (HEI) Q3 FY2026 — HEI went into the print at $351.05 and closed at $336.53 three sessions later, -4.1%, having set a 12-month closing high of $374.67 on August 14. The non-voting Class A (HEI.A) closed at $250.06, -2.7% over the same three sessions. HEICO reported record net sales of $1,413.1m (+23.1%), record operating income of $355.2m (+34.0%) and record net income attributabl...
BOX Stock: HOLD Call - Revenue Guide Up, EPS Guide Down Q2 FY2027 31.08.2026 14:00
Box Inc (BOX) Q2 FY2027 — Shares closed the reaction session at $33.39, +1.2%, then ran to $34.98 by Friday - a 12-month closing high, and +63.7% off the April low of $21.37. Box raised full-year revenue guidance to $1.290bn and CUT full-year non-GAAP EPS guidance to $1.54 - below the $1.55 it started the year with. The entire cut is the share count, guided from 139m in May back up to 141m in Augu...
BILI Stock: HOLD Call - Server Book Tripled, Margin +10bp Q2 2026 31.08.2026 12:44
Bilibili (BILI) Q2 2026 — Shares rose +3.84% on the print to $16.77, on 3.0x the thirty session median volume - the 26th best session of the twelve months, not the first. One session later they sit at $16.60, +2.79% against the pre-print close, with 27% of the move handed back. The shares are -29% on the year and 54% under the January high. Bilibili reported Q2 2026 revenue of RMB7.94B, +8% year o...
XPEV Stock: SELL Call - Half The Gross Profit Was Not From Cars Q2 2026 31.08.2026 13:13
XPeng (XPEV) Q2 2026 — Shares gapped 3.0% BELOW the prior close, never traded back to it, and closed 7.1% under their own session high at $11.15, -8.53% on the day - a twelve month closing low on 4.1x the thirty session median volume. Four sessions later they sit at $11.53, -5.41% against the pre-print close. XPeng reported Q2 2026 revenue of $2,910M, +8.0% year on year, at a gross margin of 20.7%...
NTNX Stock: HOLD Call - EPS Up 8x On A Tax Entry, FY27 Guide Flat Q4 FY2026 31.08.2026 13:20
Nutanix (NTNX) Q4 FY2026 — Shares gapped 8.9% ABOVE the prior close on the reaction session, reached +13.8% intraday, then closed 6.2% under their own session high at $69.84, +6.81% on the day - and one session later they sit at $69.16, +5.77% against the pre-print close. Nutanix reported GAAP diluted EPS of $5.17 for fiscal 2026 against $0.65 a year ago. Approximately $1,208M of that - $4.14 per...
NVDA Stock: HOLD Call - Record Quarter, $105B Guarantee Q2 FY2027 31.08.2026 15:09
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 FY2027 — Shares gapped 6.3% ABOVE the prior close and closed 1.1% under their own session high at $227.98, +8.74% on the day - the best session of the twelve months on 2.6x the thirty session median volume. One session later they sit at $217.55, +3.76% against the pre-print close, with 57% of the move handed back. NVIDIA reported Q2 FY2027 revenue of $96.2B, +106% year on year, at...
BILI Stock: HOLD Call - Server Book Tripled, Margin +10bp Q2 2026 30.08.2026 14:16
Bilibili (BILI) Q2 2026 — Shares rose +3.84% on the print to $16.77, on 3.0x the thirty session median volume - the 26th best session of the twelve months, not the first. One session later they sit at $16.60, +2.79% against the pre-print close, with 27% of the move handed back. The shares are -29% on the year and 54% under the January high. Bilibili reported Q2 2026 revenue of RMB7.94B, +8% year o...
NVDA Stock: HOLD Call - Record Quarter, $105B Guarantee Q2 FY2027 30.08.2026 14:28
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 FY2027 — Shares gapped 6.3% ABOVE the prior close and closed 1.1% under their own session high at $227.98, +8.74% on the day - the best session of the twelve months on 2.6x the thirty session median volume. One session later they sit at $217.55, +3.76% against the pre-print close, with 57% of the move handed back. NVIDIA reported Q2 FY2027 revenue of $96.2B, +106% year on year, at...
KSS Stock: HOLD Call - The Beat And The Raise Were Both A Tariff Refund Q2 FY2026 30.08.2026 13:09
Kohl's Corporation (KSS) Q2 FY2026 — Shares gapped 5.8% lower at the open on the print, were marked 9.4% down intraday, then turned and closed +1.47% at $17.94 - and three sessions later they sit at $17.50, -1.02% against the pre-print close. Kohl's raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance by $0.80 at BOTH ends of the range, restarted its buyback, and reported a 303 bp gross margin expansion. Ap...
MRVL Stock: The 59 Million Shares Marvell Gave Google - Q2 FY2027 30.08.2026 14:08
Marvell Technology (MRVL) Q2 FY2027 — Shares fell 10.3% to $216.62 the next session, gapping down 6.7% at the open and never trading back - the session high was still 5.2% below Thursday, and it closed within half a per cent of its own low. Revenue grew 36.5% to a record $2.739bn and the adjusted gross margin FELL, to 58.9% from 59.4%. Marvell guides it lower again next quarter. Twelve days after...
XPEV Stock: SELL Call - Half The Gross Profit Was Not From Cars Q2 2026 30.08.2026 15:03
XPeng (XPEV) Q2 2026 — Shares gapped 3.0% BELOW the prior close, never traded back to it, and closed 7.1% under their own session high at $11.15, -8.53% on the day - a twelve month closing low on 4.1x the thirty session median volume. Four sessions later they sit at $11.53, -5.41% against the pre-print close. XPeng reported Q2 2026 revenue of $2,910M, +8.0% year on year, at a gross margin of 20.7%...
NTNX Stock: HOLD Call - EPS Up 8x On A Tax Entry, FY27 Guide Flat Q4 FY2026 30.08.2026 14:50
Nutanix (NTNX) Q4 FY2026 — Shares gapped 8.9% ABOVE the prior close on the reaction session, reached +13.8% intraday, then closed 6.2% under their own session high at $69.84, +6.81% on the day - and one session later they sit at $69.16, +5.77% against the pre-print close. Nutanix reported GAAP diluted EPS of $5.17 for fiscal 2026 against $0.65 a year ago. Approximately $1,208M of that - $4.14 per...
KSS Stock: HOLD Call - The Beat And The Raise Were Both A Tariff Refund Q2 FY2026 30.08.2026 14:57
Kohl's Corporation (KSS) Q2 FY2026 — Shares gapped 5.8% lower at the open on the print, were marked 9.4% down intraday, then turned and closed +1.47% at $17.94 - and three sessions later they sit at $17.50, -1.02% against the pre-print close. Kohl's raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance by $0.80 at BOTH ends of the range, restarted its buyback, and reported a 303 bp gross margin expansion. Ap...
HPQ Stock: HOLD Call - $1.8B More Revenue, $4M Less Profit Q3 FY2026 30.08.2026 14:20
HP Inc. (HPQ) Q3 FY2026 — Shares gapped 8.7% lower on the reaction session and were marked 12.4% down intraday, then closed -2.9% at $29.63 - and the next session took all of it back to $30.52, which is exactly where they closed before the release. HP added $1,836M of revenue to Personal Systems, up 18.5%, and the division earned $4M LESS than a year ago - an incremental margin of -0.22%. HP files...
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